Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Expected goals: 3.59 (Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 2.05 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1.55). The model gives 49% home, 23% draw, 29% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Vikingur Reykjavik (W) with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Vikingur Reykjavik (W) won 1 and IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 5.
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) (rating 1453 vs 1512).
- H2H favours IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.4 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1–0–5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 02/03/24 Iceland Cup Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 4-2 HT 2-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 11/09/19 Iceland Premier League Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 3-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 07/06/19 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 08/03/19 Iceland Cup Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 17/09/18 Iceland Premier League Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 14 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 10 |
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 6 |
| 10 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 6-4 W | 2-0 W |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Breidablik (W) | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 6-4 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland Cup Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Reykjavik (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 49%, draw 23%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 2.05 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.