Prediction: Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)

Expected goals: 4.25 (Fram Reykjavik (W) 1.13 · Breidablik (W) 3.13). The model gives 8% home, 12% draw, 80% away. Over 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-3.

Over its last 10 matches, Fram Reykjavik (W) sits at 3-1-6 (W-D-L), while Breidablik (W) arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Fram Reykjavik (W) and 5 for Breidablik (W).

80%2
8% 12% 80%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1446 · Breidablik (W) 1581
Fram Reykjavik (W)DrawBreidablik (W)
Our model10%14%76%
Market6%10%84%
Estimated total (ours) 4.25 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.25Fram Reykjavik (W) 1.13 · Breidablik (W) 3.13
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1446 vs 1581).
  • H2H favours Breidablik (W): 5-0-0.
  • High corners: 13 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fram Reykjavik (W)Breidablik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 22.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.61 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 54.7 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 02.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik (W) 005 Breidablik (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Iceland Premier League Women
Breidablik (W)2-0
HT 0-0
Fram Reykjavik (W)
16/03/26
Iceland Cup Women
Fram Reykjavik (W)0-4
HT 0-2
Breidablik (W)
07/08/25
Iceland Premier League Women
Fram Reykjavik (W)1-6
HT 0-2
Breidablik (W)
29/04/25
Iceland Premier League Women
Breidablik (W)7-1
HT 3-0
Fram Reykjavik (W)
27/05/23
Iceland Cup Women
Breidablik (W)7-0Fram Reykjavik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Breidablik (W) 9702 251121
2 FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 9621 241220
3 Stjarnan (W) 9522 16817
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 9423 131614
5 Throttur Reykjavik (W) 9414 11913
6 Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 9333 111412
7 Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 9315 172310
8 Valur Reykjavik (W) 9234 8119
9 Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 9135 13196
10 Fram Reykjavik (W) 9117 8234

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFram Reykjavik (W)Breidablik (W)
Stjarnan (W) 0-3 L 1-3 L
Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 0-2 L 5-0 W
FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2-6 L 2-3 L
Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 3-2 W 3-1 W
Valur Reykjavik (W) 0-0 D 3-2 W
Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 0-1 L 4-2 W
Throttur Reykjavik (W) 0-3 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fram Reykjavik (W)

LLLWDWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-1 0-3 52 L
17/06 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland Cup Women
5-0 7-1 W
13/06 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-1 0-2 43 L
30/05 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
2-1 2-6 31 L
25/05 Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
2-2 3-2 83 W
20/05 Valur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 0-0 70 D
15/05 IA Akranes (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-0 3-0 73 W
11/05 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 21 L
05/05 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-1 0-3 73 L
29/04 Breidablik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 0-2 20 L

Breidablik (W)

WWWWLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
3-0 3-0 71 W
13/06 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-1 1-3 72 L
30/05 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
2-0 5-0 01 W
25/05 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-1 2-3 83 L
20/05 Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 3-1 123 W
16/05 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
0-1 2-3 77 L
11/05 Valur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-2 3-2 124 W
06/05 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-0 4-2 70 W
29/04 Fram Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 2-0 150 W
24/04 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
2-0 2-0 51 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Breidablik (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik (W) 8%, draw 12%, Breidablik (W) 80%.

How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?

The model expects 4.25 goals (Fram Reykjavik (W) 1.13 · Breidablik (W) 3.13), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.