Prediction: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Expected goals: 3.27 (FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.02 · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1.26). The model gives 54% home, 24% draw, 23% away. Over 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FH Hafnarfjordur (W) sits at 7-2-1 (W-D-L), while Throttur Reykjavik (W) arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FH Hafnarfjordur (W) won 2 and Throttur Reykjavik (W) 4.
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (rating 1596 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 8.1 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2–0–4 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 21/02/26 Iceland Cup Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 05/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 28/08/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 17/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 4-1 HT 4-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 05/10/24 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 14 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 10 |
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 6 |
| 10 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 5-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 6-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Breidablik (W) | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Stjarnan (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 19 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland Cup Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 30/04 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (54%). Probabilities: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 54%, draw 24%, Throttur Reykjavik (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 3.27 goals (FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.02 · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.