Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)
Team pages: Fram Reykjavik (W) · Stjarnan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Fram Reykjavik (W)1.39
Stjarnan (W)2.34
1X2
Fram Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Stjarnan (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Fram Reykjavik (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Stjarnan (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fram Reykjavik (W)
1–2
Stjarnan (W)
(3 last)
- Stjarnan (W)3-0Fram Reykjavik (W)
- Stjarnan (W)3-1Fram Reykjavik (W)
- Fram Reykjavik (W)3-1Stjarnan (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1464 · Stjarnan (W) 1543
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stjarnan (W) (rating 1464 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Stjarnan (W): 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.7 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.1 | 3.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1–0–2 Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 12/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 07/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Stjarnan (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 29 | 33 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 30 | 24 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 6 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 18 |
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 16 |
| 9 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 39 | 16 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fram Reykjavik (W) | Stjarnan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 4-6 L | 3-7 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Breidablik (W) | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fram Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stjarnan (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik (W) 21%, draw 21%, Stjarnan (W) 58%.
How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Fram Reykjavik (W) 1.39 · Stjarnan (W) 2.34), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.