Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 23/07, 03:00
Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Austin FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Vancouver Whitecaps II1.28
Austin FC II2.05
1X2
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Draw
Austin FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vancouver Whitecaps II
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Austin FC II
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vancouver Whitecaps II
1–2–1
Austin FC II
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1432 · Austin FC II 1601
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | Draw | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| Market | 23% | 22% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1432 vs 1601).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 2.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1–2–1 Austin FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Austin FC II |
| 28/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 20/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 10/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo II | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC II | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 32 | 29 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | The Town | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs SLC | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 12 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver Whitecaps II | Austin FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids II | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Austin FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Austin FC II win (55%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps II 23%, draw 23%, Austin FC II 55%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Austin FC II?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.28 · Austin FC II 2.05), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Austin FC II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.