Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 08/08, 22:00
Prediction: Portland Timbers II vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: Portland Timbers II · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Portland Timbers II1.68
Los Angeles FC II1.29
1X2
Portland Timbers II
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Portland Timbers II
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portland Timbers II
3–1–2
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
- Los Angeles FC II0-0Portland Timbers II
- Los Angeles FC II0-1Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II5-3Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II1-0Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II3-0Los Angeles FC II
- Portland Timbers II2-3Los Angeles FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portland Timbers II 1575 · Los Angeles FC II 1499
| Portland Timbers II | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Timbers II (rating 1575 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Portland Timbers II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portland Timbers II | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Timbers II 3–1–2 Los Angeles FC II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 16/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Portland Timbers II |
| 14/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 5-3 HT 1-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 14/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 15/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 14/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 18 | 46 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 38 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 34 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 33 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 29 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 29 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 52 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portland Timbers II | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC II | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| St Louis City II | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portland Timbers II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Los Angeles FC II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers II vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Timbers II win (46%). Probabilities: Portland Timbers II 46%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC II 29%.
How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Portland Timbers II 1.68 · Los Angeles FC II 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Portland Timbers II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.