Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 09/08, 00:00
Prediction: Columbus Crew II vs New York Red Bulls II
Team pages: Columbus Crew II · New York Red Bulls II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.18Total
Columbus Crew II2.09
New York Red Bulls II2.09
1X2
Columbus Crew II
Draw
New York Red Bulls II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Columbus Crew II
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
New York Red Bulls II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew II
1–5
New York Red Bulls II
(6 last)
- New York Red Bulls II4-1Columbus Crew II
- New York Red Bulls II4-2Columbus Crew II
- New York Red Bulls II7-4Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II1-2New York Red Bulls II
- Columbus Crew II0-1New York Red Bulls II
- New York Red Bulls II1-3Columbus Crew II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Columbus Crew II 1523 · New York Red Bulls II 1472
| Columbus Crew II | Draw | New York Red Bulls II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 22% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 24% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Columbus Crew II (rating 1523 vs 1472).
- H2H favours New York Red Bulls II: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew II | New York Red Bulls II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.7 | 2.2 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew II 1–0–5 New York Red Bulls II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York Red Bulls II | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 01/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York Red Bulls II | 4-2 HT 4-2 | Columbus Crew II |
| 01/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York Red Bulls II | 7-4 HT 4-1 | Columbus Crew II |
| 01/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-2 HT 0-1 | New York Red Bulls II |
| 26/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New York Red Bulls II |
| 01/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York Red Bulls II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Columbus Crew II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 28 | 46 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 30 | 40 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 39 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 38 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United II | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 33 | 34 |
| 7 | CT United | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 34 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire II | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 33 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 32 |
| 10 | New York City FC II | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 38 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 27 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 23 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew II | New York Red Bulls II |
|---|---|---|
| CT United | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Philadelphia Union II | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| New England Revolution II | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| FC Cincinnati II | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Toronto FC II | 2-2 D | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
New York Red Bulls II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 25/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 06/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew II vs New York Red Bulls II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew II win (39%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew II 39%, draw 23%, New York Red Bulls II 39%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew II vs New York Red Bulls II?
The model expects 4.18 goals (Columbus Crew II 2.09 · New York Red Bulls II 2.09), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew II vs New York Red Bulls II?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.