Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 09/08, 01:00
Prediction: Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II
Team pages: Chattanooga FC · Atlanta United II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Chattanooga FC1.72
Atlanta United II1.74
1X2
Chattanooga FC
Draw
Atlanta United II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga FC
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Atlanta United II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga FC
1–4–1
Atlanta United II
(6 last)
- Atlanta United II4-4Chattanooga FC
- Chattanooga FC1-1Atlanta United II
- Atlanta United II0-1Chattanooga FC
- Atlanta United II2-2Chattanooga FC
- Chattanooga FC3-4Atlanta United II
- Chattanooga FC2-2Atlanta United II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga FC 1551 · Atlanta United II 1500
| Chattanooga FC | Draw | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1551 vs 1500).
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga FC | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 2.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.3 | 4.7 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga FC 1–4–1 Atlanta United II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 4-4 HT 0-2 | Chattanooga FC |
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atlanta United II |
| 25/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chattanooga FC |
| 30/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 02/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Atlanta United II |
| 26/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Atlanta United II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 28 | 46 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 30 | 40 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 39 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 38 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United II | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 33 | 34 |
| 7 | CT United | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 34 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire II | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 33 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 32 |
| 10 | New York City FC II | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 38 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 27 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 23 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga FC | Atlanta United II |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami CF II | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Philadelphia Union II | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Carolina Core FC | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Chicago Fire II | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| New York City FC II | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlanta United II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
Atlanta United II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 22/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlanta United II win (38%). Probabilities: Chattanooga FC 37%, draw 25%, Atlanta United II 38%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Chattanooga FC 1.72 · Atlanta United II 1.74), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.