Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 23/07, 17:00
Prediction: New England Revolution II vs New York City FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
New England Revolution II2
New York City FC II1.24
1X2
New England Revolution II
Draw
New York City FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
New England Revolution II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
New York City FC II
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New England Revolution II
4–1–1
New York City FC II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New England Revolution II 1538 · New York City FC II 1559
| New England Revolution II | Draw | New York City FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours New England Revolution II: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New England Revolution II | New York City FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 2.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New England Revolution II 4–1–1 New York City FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 3-2 HT 0-1 | New York City FC II |
| 19/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 1-3 HT 0-2 | New England Revolution II |
| 31/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 26/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | New York City FC II |
| 26/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 3-3 HT 1-2 | New York City FC II |
| 15/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 6-2 HT 3-1 | New England Revolution II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 27 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City II | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 33 | 35 |
| 4 | Chattanooga FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 34 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 28 |
| 9 | CT United | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New England Revolution II | New York City FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew II | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Philadelphia Union II | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Chicago Fire II | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| New York Red Bulls II | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| FC Cincinnati II | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Crown Legacy | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: New York City FC II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
New York City FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New England Revolution II vs New York City FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New England Revolution II win (54%). Probabilities: New England Revolution II 54%, draw 23%, New York City FC II 23%.
How many goals are expected in New England Revolution II vs New York City FC II?
The model expects 3.24 goals (New England Revolution II 2 · New York City FC II 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in New England Revolution II vs New York City FC II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.