Football · Chile Primera B · 13/08, 02:30
Prediction: CD Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers
Team pages: CD Antofagasta · Santiago Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
CD Antofagasta1.91
Santiago Wanderers1.46
1X2
CD Antofagasta
Draw
Santiago Wanderers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Antofagasta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Santiago Wanderers
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Antofagasta
1–1–4
Santiago Wanderers
(6 last)
- Santiago Wanderers2-2CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta4-1Santiago Wanderers
- CD Antofagasta2-3Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers3-0CD Antofagasta
- Santiago Wanderers4-0CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta1-2Santiago Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Antofagasta 1557 · Santiago Wanderers 1473
| CD Antofagasta | Draw | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1557 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Santiago Wanderers: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Antofagasta | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Antofagasta 1–1–4 Santiago Wanderers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-2 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 27/07/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 01/07/25 Chile Cup | CD Antofagasta | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 08/06/25 Chile Cup | Santiago Wanderers | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 11/03/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 4-0 HT 2-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 13/10/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Santiago Wanderers |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 28 |
| 7 | Magallanes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 28 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportes Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 18 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 17 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 18 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Antofagasta | Santiago Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Union San Felipe | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Antofagasta (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Antofagasta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
Santiago Wanderers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Antofagasta win (46%). Probabilities: CD Antofagasta 46%, draw 27%, Santiago Wanderers 27%.
How many goals are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model expects 3.37 goals (CD Antofagasta 1.91 · Santiago Wanderers 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.