Prediction: San Marcos De Arica vs Union San Felipe
Team pages: San Marcos De Arica · Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-1San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica1-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-2San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica1-2Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe0-2San Marcos De Arica
- Union San Felipe3-0San Marcos De Arica
| San Marcos De Arica | Draw | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 26% | 12% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours San Marcos De Arica: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Marcos De Arica | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Marcos De Arica 3–1–2 Union San Felipe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 18/10/25 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 07/06/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-2 HT 1-1 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 20/10/24 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 04/06/24 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-2 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 22/07/23 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 3-0 HT 1-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 28 |
| 7 | Magallanes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 28 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportes Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 18 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 17 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 18 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Marcos De Arica | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Puerto Montt | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Marcos De Arica (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 06/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Marcos De Arica vs Union San Felipe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Marcos De Arica win (64%). Probabilities: San Marcos De Arica 64%, draw 24%, Union San Felipe 12%.
How many goals are expected in San Marcos De Arica vs Union San Felipe?
The model expects 2.25 goals (San Marcos De Arica 1.67 · Union San Felipe 0.58), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Marcos De Arica vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.