Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Konnerud vs Ullern

Team pages: Konnerud · Ullern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

Konnerud1.61

Ullern2.61

1X2

23% 18% 59%

Konnerud Draw Ullern

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Konnerud 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Ullern 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Konnerud 0–1 Ullern (1 last)

Ullern2-1Konnerud

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Konnerud 1418 · Ullern 1500

	Konnerud	Draw	Ullern
Our model	22%	19%	58%
Market	24%	16%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ullern (rating 1418 vs 1500).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Konnerud	Ullern
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.9	2.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X5.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:53 +8’	3.80	5.50	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Konnerud 0–0–1 Ullern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Ullern	2-1 HT 1-1	Konnerud

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	25	22	1	2	89	36	67
2	Heming	25	15	5	5	66	40	50
3	Gamle Oslo	25	14	3	8	73	46	45
4	Valerenga 2	25	14	1	10	58	64	43
5	IF Ready	25	12	6	7	63	48	42
6	Baerum	25	12	3	10	68	48	39
7	FK Union Carl Berner	25	12	2	11	45	41	38
8	Frigg	25	9	6	10	53	62	33
9	Lokomotiv Oslo	25	9	2	14	48	72	29
10	KFUM 2	25	8	4	13	52	68	28
11	Grei	25	9	1	15	48	73	28
12	Ullern	25	8	2	15	49	62	26
13	Nordstrand	25	6	2	17	36	60	20
14	Konnerud	25	5	2	18	40	68	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Konnerud	Ullern
IF Ready	2-3 L	3-4 L
Asker	2-3 L	2-6 L
Lokomotiv Oslo	2-3 L	3-2 W
Heming	5-5 D	0-3 L
KFUM 2	0-1 L	3-1 W
Grei	3-2 W	0-2 L
Valerenga 2	1-2 L	2-1 W
Baerum	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Konnerud (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Konnerud

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	2-3	6	1	L
17/10	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	2-3	6	5	L
10/10	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
03/10	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	5-5	3	5	D
26/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
19/09	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
12/09	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	3-2	11	4	W
05/09	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	7	5	L
30/08	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
15/08	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-5	1-7	1	1	L

Ullern

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	6-0	5	1	W
17/10	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
10/10	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-2	9	3	L
03/10	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-0	3-1	0	5	W
26/09	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-3	4	5	L
19/09	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
12/09	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-3	3-4	12	3	L
05/09	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-3	2-6	6	1	L
30/08	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-0	3-2	2	5	W
15/08	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	4-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Konnerud vs Ullern?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ullern win (59%). Probabilities: Konnerud 23%, draw 18%, Ullern 59%.

How many goals are expected in Konnerud vs Ullern?

The model expects 4.22 goals (Konnerud 1.61 · Ullern 2.61), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Konnerud vs Ullern?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.