Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Oslo vs Asker

Team pages: Lokomotiv Oslo · Asker

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.56Total

Lokomotiv Oslo1.69

Asker2.87

1X2

21% 17% 62%

Lokomotiv Oslo Draw Asker

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Oslo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWLWWL

Asker 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Oslo 0–1 Asker (1 last)

Asker6-0Lokomotiv Oslo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Oslo 1491 · Asker 1593

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Draw	Asker
Our model	21%	18%	61%
Market	21%	16%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 4.56 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asker (rating 1491 vs 1593).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Asker
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.4	3.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	2.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.3	3.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.20

X5.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.98

2 (-1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.93

Under 4.51.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 5.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:54 +5’	4.20	5.50	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Oslo 0–0–1 Asker

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Asker	6-0 HT 3-0	Lokomotiv Oslo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	25	22	1	2	89	36	67
2	Heming	25	15	5	5	66	40	50
3	Gamle Oslo	25	14	3	8	73	46	45
4	Valerenga 2	25	14	1	10	58	64	43
5	IF Ready	25	12	6	7	63	48	42
6	Baerum	25	12	3	10	68	48	39
7	FK Union Carl Berner	25	12	2	11	45	41	38
8	Frigg	25	9	6	10	53	62	33
9	Lokomotiv Oslo	25	9	2	14	48	72	29
10	KFUM 2	25	8	4	13	52	68	28
11	Grei	25	9	1	15	48	73	28
12	Ullern	25	8	2	15	49	62	26
13	Nordstrand	25	6	2	17	36	60	20
14	Konnerud	25	5	2	18	40	68	17

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Oslo	Asker
Heming	2-4 L	5-2 W
Konnerud	3-2 W	3-2 W
FK Union Carl Berner	1-4 L	5-1 W
Gamle Oslo	4-1 W	2-1 W
Nordstrand	0-5 L	1-0 W
Baerum	5-2 W	4-2 W
KFUM 2	3-0 W	7-2 W
Ullern	2-3 L	6-2 W
Frigg	2-2 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	9 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Asker (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Oslo

DLWWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
18/10	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
10/10	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-2	5	2	W
03/10	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-3	1-4	5	4	L
26/09	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	4-1	0	6	W
19/09	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-5	1	4	L
13/09	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	4-1	5-2	4	5	W
07/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	3-0	4	7	W
30/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	2-3	3	5	L
15/08	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Asker

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
17/10	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-0	3-2	7	5	W
14/10	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
10/10	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	4-2	11	4	W
03/10	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	3-4	5	2	L
26/09	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
20/09	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
14/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	4-0	7-2	9	0	W
05/09	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	6-2	6	1	W
15/08	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	5-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Asker?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Asker win (62%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Oslo 21%, draw 17%, Asker 62%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Asker?

The model expects 4.56 goals (Lokomotiv Oslo 1.69 · Asker 2.87), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Asker?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.