Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 01/08, 14:00
Prediction: Valerenga 2 vs Lokomotiv Oslo
Team pages: Valerenga 2 · Lokomotiv Oslo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.59Total
Valerenga 22.81
Lokomotiv Oslo1.78
1X2
Valerenga 2
Draw
Lokomotiv Oslo
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Valerenga 2
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Oslo
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valerenga 2
3–0
Lokomotiv Oslo
(3 last)
- Lokomotiv Oslo0-1Valerenga 2
- Lokomotiv Oslo1-2Valerenga 2
- Valerenga 22-1Lokomotiv Oslo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valerenga 2 1496 · Lokomotiv Oslo 1429
| Valerenga 2 | Draw | Lokomotiv Oslo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| Market | 59% | 19% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.59 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerenga 2 (rating 1496 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Valerenga 2: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valerenga 2 | Lokomotiv Oslo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 1.4 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 0.3 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valerenga 2 3–0–0 Lokomotiv Oslo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Valerenga 2 |
| 26/10/19 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Valerenga 2 |
| 27/04/19 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Valerenga 2 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Oslo |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | IF Ready | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Heming | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Gamle Oslo | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 25 |
| 5 | Baerum | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 24 | 25 |
| 6 | Valerenga 2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 37 | 22 |
| 7 | Frigg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 25 | 21 |
| 8 | FK Union Carl Berner | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 21 |
| 9 | Nordstrand | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | KFUM 2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 38 | 11 |
| 11 | Ullern | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 10 |
| 12 | Grei | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 43 | 10 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 45 | 10 |
| 14 | Konnerud | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valerenga 2 | Lokomotiv Oslo |
|---|---|---|
| Baerum | 3-6 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Union Carl Berner | 2-1 W | 0-8 L |
| Nordstrand | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| KFUM 2 | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Gamle Oslo | 3-8 L | 1-6 L |
| Asker | 1-4 L | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerenga 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 25/05 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-5 | 3-8 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
Lokomotiv Oslo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 25/05 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-5 | 0-8 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerenga 2 vs Lokomotiv Oslo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valerenga 2 win (59%). Probabilities: Valerenga 2 59%, draw 19%, Lokomotiv Oslo 23%.
How many goals are expected in Valerenga 2 vs Lokomotiv Oslo?
The model expects 4.59 goals (Valerenga 2 2.81 · Lokomotiv Oslo 1.78), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Valerenga 2 vs Lokomotiv Oslo?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.