Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grei

Team pages: Lokomotiv Oslo · Grei

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.44Total

Lokomotiv Oslo2.17

Grei2.27

1X2

38% 20% 42%

Lokomotiv Oslo Draw Grei

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Oslo 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Grei 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Oslo 2–3–1 Grei (6 last)

Grei4-4Lokomotiv Oslo
Lokomotiv Oslo3-2Grei
Grei1-1Lokomotiv Oslo
Grei1-2Lokomotiv Oslo
Lokomotiv Oslo1-1Grei
Grei1-0Lokomotiv Oslo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Oslo 1416 · Grei 1419

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Draw	Grei
Our model	38%	21%	41%
Market	38%	20%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 4.44 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lokomotiv Oslo: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Grei
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 3.7	1.9 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.7	1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.3	1.6 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X4.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.93

Under 4.251.88

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 5.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:09 +1’	2.35	4.50	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Oslo 2–3–1 Grei

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Grei	4-4 HT 2-1	Lokomotiv Oslo
02/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Lokomotiv Oslo	3-2 HT 1-0	Grei
26/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Grei	1-1 HT 1-0	Lokomotiv Oslo
14/07/22 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Grei	1-2 HT 0-1	Lokomotiv Oslo
22/05/22 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Lokomotiv Oslo	1-1 HT 0-0	Grei
19/10/19 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Grei	1-0	Lokomotiv Oslo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	14	12	1	1	45	14	37
2	Heming	14	9	2	3	32	19	29
3	Gamle Oslo	14	9	1	4	48	27	28
4	IF Ready	14	7	5	2	34	21	26
5	Baerum	14	8	1	5	44	27	25
6	Valerenga 2	14	8	1	5	32	39	25
7	Frigg	14	6	4	4	34	27	22
8	FK Union Carl Berner	14	7	0	7	23	20	21
9	Nordstrand	14	5	1	8	23	30	16
10	KFUM 2	14	4	2	8	26	38	14
11	Ullern	14	3	2	9	23	35	11
12	Grei	14	3	1	10	24	48	10
13	Lokomotiv Oslo	14	3	1	10	22	48	10
14	Konnerud	14	3	0	11	21	38	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Oslo	Grei
KFUM 2	2-0 W	0-5 L
Gamle Oslo	1-6 L	1-3 L
Konnerud	3-4 L	3-1 W
FK Union Carl Berner	0-8 L	1-2 L
Baerum	1-2 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Grei (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lokomotiv Oslo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	2-3	3	6	L
27/07	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
24/06	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-6	4	3	L
20/06	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
13/06	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	0-6	0	2	L
31/05	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
25/05	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-3	3-4	5	3	L
14/05	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-5	0-8	2	2	L
09/05	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	4-4	6	3	D
02/05	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	1	6	L

Grei

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-5	2	3	L
25/07	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	3-1	2	4	W
27/06	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-3	1-5	2	3	L
20/06	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
13/06	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-5	1	5	L
06/06	Holmlia Norway Cup	1-3	4-4	1	5	D
30/05	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
23/05	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-3	7	9	L
14/05	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
09/05	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	4-4	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grei?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Grei win (42%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Oslo 38%, draw 20%, Grei 42%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grei?

The model expects 4.44 goals (Lokomotiv Oslo 2.17 · Grei 2.27), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grei?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.