Prediction: Heming vs Baerum

Team pages: Heming · Baerum

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.15Total
Heming1.99
Baerum2.16
1X2
36% 21% 42%
Heming Draw Baerum
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Heming 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWWWLWDW
Baerum 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWWWDW
Head-to-head
Heming 1–0 Baerum (1 last)
  • Baerum1-4Heming
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Heming 1551 · Baerum 1525
HemingDrawBaerum
Our model36%22%42%
Market36%21%42%
Estimated total (ours) 4.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HemingBaerum
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.73 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.51.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.12.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.43.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Heming 100 Baerum

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Norway Division 3 Group 1
Baerum1-4
HT 0-2
Heming

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Asker 131111 421434
2 IF Ready 13751 341826
3 Heming 13823 291826
4 Gamle Oslo 13814 452625
5 Baerum 13814 432425
6 Valerenga 2 13715 293722
7 Frigg 13634 322521
8 FK Union Carl Berner 13706 221721
9 Nordstrand 13418 202813
10 KFUM 2 13328 213811
11 Ullern 13319 213310
12 Grei 13319 244310
13 Lokomotiv Oslo 13319 204510
14 Konnerud 133010 19359

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHemingBaerum
KFUM 2 2-2 D 4-1 W
Frigg 1-4 L 1-1 D
FK Union Carl Berner 2-0 W 0-2 L
Valerenga 2 6-1 W 6-3 W
IF Ready 0-0 D 2-4 L
Asker 0-5 L 2-4 L
Grei 2-3 L 5-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Baerum (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Heming

LLDWWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 3-1 44 W
28/06 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 2-2 21 D
20/06 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 1-0 710 W
13/06 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-4 71 L
07/06 Lommedalen
Norway Cup
0-1 3-1 72 W
30/05 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 2-0 46 W
25/05 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-0 6-1 94 W
16/05 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 0-0 55 D
09/05 Asker
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 0-5 64 L
02/05 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-2 2-3 103 L

Baerum

LWLLLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
4-2 6-3 54 W
27/06 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 1-1 86 D
20/06 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 7-2 71 W
14/06 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 4-1 54 W
30/05 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 5-0 W
23/05 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 2-4 62 L
16/05 Asker
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-3 2-4 24 L
10/05 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 0-2 67 L
02/05 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 2-1 36 W
25/04 Heming
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-2 1-4 101 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Heming vs Baerum?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Baerum win (42%). Probabilities: Heming 36%, draw 21%, Baerum 42%.

How many goals are expected in Heming vs Baerum?

The model expects 4.15 goals (Heming 1.99 · Baerum 2.16), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Heming vs Baerum?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.