Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Valerenga 2 vs Gamle Oslo

Team pages: Valerenga 2 · Gamle Oslo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.7Total

Valerenga 22.07

Gamle Oslo2.63

1X2

30% 20% 50%

Valerenga 2 Draw Gamle Oslo

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Valerenga 2 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Gamle Oslo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Valerenga 2 0–1 Gamle Oslo (1 last)

Gamle Oslo8-3Valerenga 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valerenga 2 1524 · Gamle Oslo 1577

	Valerenga 2	Draw	Gamle Oslo
Our model	30%	19%	50%
Market	30%	21%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 4.7 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gamle Oslo (rating 1524 vs 1577).
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valerenga 2	Gamle Oslo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 2.6	3.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	1.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	2.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.20

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.88

Under 4.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +32’	3.00	4.20	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valerenga 2 0–0–1 Gamle Oslo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Gamle Oslo	8-3 HT 5-1	Valerenga 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	17	15	1	1	61	22	46
2	Gamle Oslo	18	13	1	4	65	33	40
3	Baerum	18	11	2	5	58	30	35
4	Heming	18	10	3	5	41	29	33
5	Valerenga 2	18	10	1	7	44	53	31
6	Frigg	17	8	5	4	44	33	29
7	IF Ready	18	7	6	5	42	34	27
8	FK Union Carl Berner	17	8	0	9	26	26	24
9	KFUM 2	16	5	2	9	34	45	17
10	Ullern	18	5	2	11	34	49	17
11	Nordstrand	18	5	1	12	30	46	16
12	Lokomotiv Oslo	17	4	2	11	27	53	14
13	Konnerud	18	4	1	13	26	49	13
14	Grei	18	4	1	13	30	60	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valerenga 2	Gamle Oslo
Konnerud	2-1 W	7-1 W
Heming	2-5 L	2-1 W
IF Ready	4-3 W	3-2 W
Lokomotiv Oslo	3-2 W	6-1 W
FK Union Carl Berner	2-1 W	3-1 W
Nordstrand	3-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gamle Oslo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valerenga 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
30/08	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	2-5	6	4	L
16/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	4-3	10	2	W
08/08	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	4-5	4	3	L
01/08	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	3-2	7	6	W
25/07	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-4	3-6	6	4	L
26/06	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
21/06	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
06/06	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
31/05	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	8	W

Gamle Oslo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
30/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
15/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	5-0	7-1	7	1	W
08/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	5-2	12	5	W
31/07	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
25/07	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/06	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	6-1	3	3	W
20/06	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
13/06	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-3	7	4	L
30/05	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	1-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valerenga 2 vs Gamle Oslo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gamle Oslo win (50%). Probabilities: Valerenga 2 30%, draw 20%, Gamle Oslo 50%.

How many goals are expected in Valerenga 2 vs Gamle Oslo?

The model expects 4.7 goals (Valerenga 2 2.07 · Gamle Oslo 2.63), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Valerenga 2 vs Gamle Oslo?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.