Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 20/09, 13:00

Prediction: Gamle Oslo vs Asker

Team pages: Gamle Oslo · Asker

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

Gamle Oslo2.09

Asker2.33

1X2

35% 21% 44%

Gamle Oslo Draw Asker

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Gamle Oslo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWL

Asker 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Gamle Oslo 2–1 Asker (3 last)

Asker0-4Gamle Oslo
Gamle Oslo4-1Asker
Asker4-3Gamle Oslo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gamle Oslo 1561 · Asker 1596

	Gamle Oslo	Draw	Asker
Our model	35%	21%	44%
Market	35%	21%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gamle Oslo: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gamle Oslo	Asker
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.5	4.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	80/0/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.1	3.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X4.33

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 5.1

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 11:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	4.50 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
2	1.73 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.14 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:54 +6’	3.20	4.50	1.73
14:33 +49’	2.90▼	4.33▼	1.85▲
19:41 +24’	2.88▼	4.50▲	1.85
11:35 +18’	2.55▼	4.33▼	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +87’	3.12	4.02	1.79
07:27 +23’	3.11▼	4.00▼	1.81▲
08:18 +30’	2.57▼	4.22▲	2.00▲
09:59 +7’	2.61▲	4.27▲	1.97▼
11:23 +30’	2.45▼	4.24▼	2.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 4.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamle Oslo 2–0–1 Asker

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Asker	0-4 HT 0-2	Gamle Oslo
21/09/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Gamle Oslo	4-1 HT 1-0	Asker
04/05/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Asker	4-3 HT 4-1	Gamle Oslo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	18	16	1	1	68	24	49
2	Gamle Oslo	19	13	1	5	66	35	40
3	Heming	20	12	3	5	50	31	39
4	Baerum	20	11	2	7	61	37	35
5	Valerenga 2	20	11	1	8	47	56	34
6	Frigg	19	9	5	5	47	38	32
7	IF Ready	19	8	6	5	46	37	30
8	FK Union Carl Berner	19	9	1	9	29	28	28
9	Nordstrand	20	6	2	12	36	47	20
10	Ullern	20	6	2	12	39	54	20
11	Lokomotiv Oslo	20	6	2	12	35	60	20
12	KFUM 2	18	5	2	11	36	55	17
13	Konnerud	20	5	1	14	29	53	16
14	Grei	20	4	1	15	33	67	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gamle Oslo	Asker
Valerenga 2	1-2 L	5-4 W
Heming	2-1 W	5-2 W
IF Ready	3-2 W	3-0 W
Ullern	5-2 W	6-2 W
FK Union Carl Berner	3-1 W	2-1 W
Nordstrand	2-1 W	2-0 W
Lokomotiv Oslo	6-1 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Asker (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gamle Oslo

LLWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
30/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
15/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	5-0	7-1	7	1	W
08/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	5-2	12	5	W
31/07	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
25/07	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
24/06	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	6-1	3	3	W
20/06	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
13/06	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-3	7	4	L

Asker

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	4-0	7-2	9	0	W
05/09	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	6-2	6	1	W
15/08	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
08/08	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	5-4	5	3	W
02/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
27/07	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
27/06	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	3-2	7	4	W
20/06	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
13/06	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
30/05	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	2-2	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gamle Oslo vs Asker?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Asker win (44%). Probabilities: Gamle Oslo 35%, draw 21%, Asker 44%.

How many goals are expected in Gamle Oslo vs Asker?

The model expects 4.42 goals (Gamle Oslo 2.09 · Asker 2.33), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gamle Oslo vs Asker?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.