Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 01/08, 12:30
Prediction: Frigg vs Ullern
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Frigg2.24
Ullern1.56
1X2
Frigg
Draw
Ullern
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Frigg
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Ullern
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Frigg
5–1–0
Ullern
(6 last)
- Ullern1-2Frigg
- Ullern0-0Frigg
- Frigg1-0Ullern
- Ullern0-8Frigg
- Frigg2-0Ullern
- Frigg4-1Ullern
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frigg 1538 · Ullern 1439
| Frigg | Draw | Ullern | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| Market | 53% | 20% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frigg (rating 1538 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Frigg: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Frigg | Ullern | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.5 | 2.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frigg 5–1–0 Ullern
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Ullern | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Frigg |
| 07/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Ullern | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Frigg |
| 11/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Frigg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ullern |
| 28/09/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Ullern | 0-8 HT 0-3 | Frigg |
| 11/05/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Frigg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ullern |
| 24/05/23 Norway Cup | Frigg | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Ullern |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | IF Ready | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Heming | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Gamle Oslo | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 25 |
| 5 | Baerum | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 24 | 25 |
| 6 | Valerenga 2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 37 | 22 |
| 7 | Frigg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 25 | 21 |
| 8 | FK Union Carl Berner | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 21 |
| 9 | Nordstrand | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | KFUM 2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 38 | 11 |
| 11 | Ullern | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 10 |
| 12 | Grei | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 43 | 10 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 45 | 10 |
| 14 | Konnerud | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Frigg | Ullern |
|---|---|---|
| IF Ready | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Heming | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Gamle Oslo | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| KFUM 2 | 4-3 W | 2-3 L |
| Asker | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Konnerud | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Frigg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frigg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 27/06 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
Ullern
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Christiania BK Norway Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frigg vs Ullern?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Frigg win (53%). Probabilities: Frigg 53%, draw 21%, Ullern 26%.
How many goals are expected in Frigg vs Ullern?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Frigg 2.24 · Ullern 1.56), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Frigg vs Ullern?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.