Football · South Korea K League 2 · 17/10, 07:00

Prediction: Seongnam FC vs Suwon FC

Team pages: Seongnam FC · Suwon FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Seongnam FC1.23

Suwon FC1.28

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Seongnam FC Draw Suwon FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Seongnam FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDWLDL

Suwon FC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Seongnam FC 3–2–1 Suwon FC (6 last)

Suwon FC0-0Seongnam FC
Seongnam FC1-0Suwon FC
Suwon FC2-1Seongnam FC
Seongnam FC2-1Suwon FC
Seongnam FC2-2Suwon FC
Suwon FC3-4Seongnam FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FC (rating 1502 vs 1565).
H2H favours Seongnam FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Seongnam FC	Suwon FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.3	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.92

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
X	3.61 → 3.61	Pinn 3.61
2	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:42 +318’	3.51	3.61	1.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Seongnam FC 3–2–1 Suwon FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 South Korea K League 2	Suwon FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Seongnam FC
17/04/24 South Korea Cup	Seongnam FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Suwon FC
12/10/22 South Korea K League 1	Suwon FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Seongnam FC
28/08/22 South Korea K League 1	Seongnam FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Suwon FC
18/05/22 South Korea K League 1	Seongnam FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Suwon FC
03/04/22 South Korea K League 1	Suwon FC	3-4 HT 1-2	Seongnam FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	26	17	5	4	43	21	56
2	Suwon FC	26	14	9	3	51	29	51
3	Seoul E-Land FC	27	15	6	6	46	30	51
4	Daegu FC	26	13	7	6	48	35	46
5	Hwaseong FC	27	12	8	7	41	28	44
6	Busan I Park	27	12	6	9	42	35	42
7	Chungnam Asan FC	26	9	8	9	35	32	35
8	Gimpo FC	26	8	11	7	31	31	35
9	Gyeongnam FC	26	8	10	8	31	31	34
10	Chungbuk Cheongju	27	6	14	7	34	42	32
11	Seongnam FC	26	7	10	9	29	33	31
12	Paju Frontier FC	26	8	6	12	25	29	30
13	Yongin FC	26	5	12	9	32	37	27
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31	37	26
15	Jeonnam Dragons	26	5	9	12	30	44	24
16	Ansan Greeners FC	27	6	4	17	28	53	22
17	Gimhae FC 2008	26	2	8	16	20	50	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seongnam FC	Suwon FC
Hwaseong FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Seoul E-Land FC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Paju Frontier FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Cheonan City	3-2 W	1-1 D
Busan I Park	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Suwon FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seongnam FC

WLWLWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
20/09	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	2-1	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
06/09	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
16/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
08/08	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	2-1	3-2	3	2	W
01/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
18/07	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W

Suwon FC

DWWDWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
19/09	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	1-0	3-0	8	5	W
13/09	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
05/09	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
30/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
22/08	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-2	1	1	D
08/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
25/07	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
18/07	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seongnam FC vs Suwon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Suwon FC win (37%). Probabilities: Seongnam FC 34%, draw 29%, Suwon FC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Seongnam FC vs Suwon FC?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Seongnam FC 1.23 · Suwon FC 1.28), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Seongnam FC vs Suwon FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.