Football · South Korea K League 2 · 25/10, 08:30

Prediction: Chungbuk Cheongju vs Yongin FC

Team pages: Chungbuk Cheongju · Yongin FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Chungbuk Cheongju1.49

Yongin FC1.28

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Chungbuk Cheongju Draw Yongin FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Chungbuk Cheongju 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Yongin FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chungbuk Cheongju 0–1–0 Yongin FC (1 last)

Yongin FC1-1Chungbuk Cheongju

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chungbuk Cheongju 1500 · Yongin FC 1466

	Chungbuk Cheongju	Draw	Yongin FC
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chungbuk Cheongju	Yongin FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.36
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.34 ★
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.96

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:04 +8’	2.20	3.10	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +121’	2.36	3.34	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chungbuk Cheongju 0–1–0 Yongin FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 South Korea K League 2	Yongin FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Chungbuk Cheongju

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	27	18	5	4	46	23	59
2	Suwon FC	27	15	9	3	53	30	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	16	6	6	52	32	54
4	Daegu FC	27	14	7	6	51	36	49
5	Busan I Park	28	13	6	9	44	36	45
6	Hwaseong FC	28	12	8	8	43	31	44
7	Gimpo FC	27	9	11	7	35	32	38
8	Chungnam Asan FC	27	9	9	9	35	32	36
9	Gyeongnam FC	27	8	11	8	31	31	35
10	Chungbuk Cheongju	28	6	14	8	35	45	32
11	Seongnam FC	27	7	10	10	30	35	31
12	Paju Frontier FC	27	8	6	13	26	33	30
13	Yongin FC	27	5	12	10	32	41	27
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31	37	26
15	Ansan Greeners FC	28	7	4	17	32	53	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	27	5	9	13	31	46	24
17	Gimhae FC 2008	27	2	8	17	22	56	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chungbuk Cheongju	Yongin FC
Daegu FC	1-3 L	1-3 L
Ansan Greeners FC	3-2 W	0-4 L
Chungnam Asan FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Gyeongnam FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Jeonnam Dragons	2-1 W	1-2 L
Gimpo FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Chungbuk Cheongju (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chungbuk Cheongju

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
09/10	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	3-1	0	2	W
20/09	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
12/09	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
04/09	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
29/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
07/08	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
01/08	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	2	8	D

Yongin FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-4	4	2	L
10/10	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
20/09	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
12/09	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-3	7	1	L
05/09	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
30/08	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	3-0	3-0	5	6	W
23/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
07/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
01/08	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
26/07	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Yongin FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chungbuk Cheongju win (41%). Probabilities: Chungbuk Cheongju 41%, draw 28%, Yongin FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Yongin FC?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Chungbuk Cheongju 1.49 · Yongin FC 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Yongin FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.