Football · South Korea K League 2 · 25/10, 06:00

Prediction: Seongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings

Team pages: Seongnam FC · Suwon Bluewings

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Seongnam FC1.03

Suwon Bluewings1.83

1X2

20% 25% 55%

Seongnam FC Draw Suwon Bluewings

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Seongnam FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWLDLL

Suwon Bluewings 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Seongnam FC 0–1–5 Suwon Bluewings (6 last)

Suwon Bluewings1-0Seongnam FC
Suwon Bluewings2-2Seongnam FC
Seongnam FC1-2Suwon Bluewings
Suwon Bluewings3-2Seongnam FC
Seongnam FC1-2Suwon Bluewings
Suwon Bluewings3-0Seongnam FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seongnam FC 1474 · Suwon Bluewings 1610

	Seongnam FC	Draw	Suwon Bluewings
Our model	20%	25%	55%
Market	20%	25%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon Bluewings (rating 1474 vs 1610).
H2H favours Suwon Bluewings: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Seongnam FC	Suwon Bluewings
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.50

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.61
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.96 ★
2	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:56 +16’	4.50	3.50	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:43 +273’	4.67	4.02	1.65
07:03 +12’	4.61▼	3.96▼	1.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Seongnam FC 0–1–5 Suwon Bluewings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 South Korea K League 2	Suwon Bluewings	1-0 HT 1-0	Seongnam FC
30/08/25 South Korea K League 2	Suwon Bluewings	2-2 HT 0-1	Seongnam FC
06/06/25 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Suwon Bluewings
27/04/25 South Korea K League 2	Suwon Bluewings	3-2 HT 0-0	Seongnam FC
22/09/24 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Suwon Bluewings
22/06/24 South Korea K League 2	Suwon Bluewings	3-0 HT 1-0	Seongnam FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	27	18	5	4	46	23	59
2	Suwon FC	27	15	9	3	53	30	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	16	6	6	52	32	54
4	Daegu FC	27	14	7	6	51	36	49
5	Busan I Park	28	13	6	9	44	36	45
6	Hwaseong FC	28	12	8	8	43	31	44
7	Gimpo FC	27	9	11	7	35	32	38
8	Chungnam Asan FC	27	9	9	9	35	32	36
9	Gyeongnam FC	27	8	11	8	31	31	35
10	Chungbuk Cheongju	28	6	14	8	35	45	32
11	Seongnam FC	27	7	10	10	30	35	31
12	Paju Frontier FC	27	8	6	13	26	33	30
13	Yongin FC	27	5	12	10	32	41	27
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31	37	26
15	Ansan Greeners FC	28	7	4	17	32	53	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	27	5	9	13	31	46	24
17	Gimhae FC 2008	27	2	8	17	22	56	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seongnam FC	Suwon Bluewings
Suwon FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
Chungbuk Cheongju	1-3 L	2-2 D
Hwaseong FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Gimpo FC	2-1 W	4-1 W
Seoul E-Land FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Ansan Greeners FC	2-1 W	4-1 W
Cheonan City	3-2 W	1-0 W
Chungnam Asan FC	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Suwon Bluewings (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seongnam FC

LWLWDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
09/10	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
20/09	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	2-1	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
06/09	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
16/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
08/08	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	2-1	3-2	3	2	W
01/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	2	1	L

Suwon Bluewings

WDWDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	3-0	3-2	2	5	W
11/10	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	4-1	6	1	W
12/09	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
29/08	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
22/08	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
15/08	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
07/08	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
01/08	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-2	7	8	D
25/07	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	1-1	4-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Suwon Bluewings win (55%). Probabilities: Seongnam FC 20%, draw 25%, Suwon Bluewings 55%.

How many goals are expected in Seongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Seongnam FC 1.03 · Suwon Bluewings 1.83), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Seongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.