Football · South Korea K League 2 · 25/10, 08:30
Prediction: Paju Frontier FC vs Hwaseong FC
Team pages: Paju Frontier FC · Hwaseong FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Paju Frontier FC0.98
Hwaseong FC1.49
1X2
Paju Frontier FC
Draw
Hwaseong FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Paju Frontier FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Hwaseong FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Paju Frontier FC
3–1–2
Hwaseong FC
(6 last)
- Hwaseong FC1-2Paju Frontier FC
- Paju Frontier FC0-2Hwaseong FC
- Hwaseong FC2-0Paju Frontier FC
- Paju Frontier FC2-1Hwaseong FC
- Hwaseong FC0-0Paju Frontier FC
- Paju Frontier FC3-0Hwaseong FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paju Frontier FC 1485 · Hwaseong FC 1508
| Paju Frontier FC | Draw | Hwaseong FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 29% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Paju Frontier FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paju Frontier FC | Hwaseong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paju Frontier FC 3–1–2 Hwaseong FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 South Korea K League 2 | Hwaseong FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Paju Frontier FC |
| 21/07/24 South Korea K3 League | Paju Frontier FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hwaseong FC |
| 07/04/24 South Korea K3 League | Hwaseong FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Paju Frontier FC |
| 15/07/23 South Korea K3 League | Paju Frontier FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hwaseong FC |
| 02/04/23 South Korea K3 League | Hwaseong FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Paju Frontier FC |
| 29/10/22 South Korea K3 League | Paju Frontier FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hwaseong FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 23 | 59 |
| 2 | Suwon FC | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 54 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 49 |
| 5 | Busan I Park | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 45 |
| 6 | Hwaseong FC | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 44 |
| 7 | Gimpo FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 38 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 36 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 35 |
| 10 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 35 | 45 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Frontier FC | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 33 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin FC | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 41 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 26 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 53 | 25 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 24 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 56 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paju Frontier FC | Hwaseong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Busan I Park | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Daegu FC | 0-0 D | 5-1 W |
| Seoul E-Land FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Seongnam FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Suwon FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Jeonnam Dragons | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Ansan Greeners FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paju Frontier FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Hwaseong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paju Frontier FC vs Hwaseong FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hwaseong FC win (48%). Probabilities: Paju Frontier FC 24%, draw 27%, Hwaseong FC 48%.
How many goals are expected in Paju Frontier FC vs Hwaseong FC?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Paju Frontier FC 0.98 · Hwaseong FC 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Paju Frontier FC vs Hwaseong FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.