Football · South Korea K League 2 · 18/10, 09:30

Prediction: Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons

Team pages: Busan I Park · Jeonnam Dragons

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Busan I Park1.31

Jeonnam Dragons1.32

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Busan I Park Draw Jeonnam Dragons

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Busan I Park 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLWLD

Jeonnam Dragons 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWDDLW

Head-to-head

Busan I Park 2–3–1 Jeonnam Dragons (6 last)

Jeonnam Dragons3-3Busan I Park
Busan I Park1-1Jeonnam Dragons
Jeonnam Dragons0-1Busan I Park
Busan I Park0-1Jeonnam Dragons
Jeonnam Dragons0-0Busan I Park
Jeonnam Dragons1-2Busan I Park

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeonnam Dragons (rating 1436 vs 1493).
H2H favours Busan I Park: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Busan I Park	Jeonnam Dragons
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	1.4 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 1.90
X	3.66 → 3.66	Pinn 3.66
2	3.77 → 3.77	Pinn 3.77

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:14 +128’	1.90	3.66	3.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan I Park 2–3–1 Jeonnam Dragons

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 South Korea K League 2	Jeonnam Dragons	3-3 HT 2-0	Busan I Park
21/09/25 South Korea K League 2	Busan I Park	1-1 HT 1-1	Jeonnam Dragons
15/06/25 South Korea K League 2	Jeonnam Dragons	0-1 HT 0-1	Busan I Park
05/04/25 South Korea K League 2	Busan I Park	0-1 HT 0-1	Jeonnam Dragons
21/11/24 South Korea K League 2	Jeonnam Dragons	0-0 HT 0-0	Busan I Park
15/09/24 South Korea K League 2	Jeonnam Dragons	1-2 HT 1-0	Busan I Park

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	26	17	5	4	43	21	56
2	Suwon FC	26	14	9	3	51	29	51
3	Seoul E-Land FC	27	15	6	6	46	30	51
4	Daegu FC	26	13	7	6	48	35	46
5	Hwaseong FC	27	12	8	7	41	28	44
6	Busan I Park	27	12	6	9	42	35	42
7	Chungnam Asan FC	26	9	8	9	35	32	35
8	Gimpo FC	26	8	11	7	31	31	35
9	Gyeongnam FC	26	8	10	8	31	31	34
10	Chungbuk Cheongju	27	6	14	7	34	42	32
11	Seongnam FC	26	7	10	9	29	33	31
12	Paju Frontier FC	26	8	6	12	25	29	30
13	Yongin FC	26	5	12	9	32	37	27
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31	37	26
15	Jeonnam Dragons	26	5	9	12	30	44	24
16	Ansan Greeners FC	27	6	4	17	28	53	22
17	Gimhae FC 2008	26	2	8	16	20	50	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Busan I Park	Jeonnam Dragons
Paju Frontier FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Gimpo FC	0-1 L	2-2 D
Gimhae FC 2008	2-0 W	2-2 D
Suwon FC	1-2 L	0-3 L
Hwaseong FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Yongin FC	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Busan I Park

LLLDDLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
19/09	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
13/09	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
30/08	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
22/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
07/08	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
02/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
25/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-4	6	5	L

Jeonnam Dragons

WDLLWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
19/09	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
13/09	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
05/09	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	2-2	2-2	9	4	D
28/08	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
23/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/08	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
02/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
18/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	3	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jeonnam Dragons win (36%). Probabilities: Busan I Park 35%, draw 29%, Jeonnam Dragons 36%.

How many goals are expected in Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Busan I Park 1.31 · Jeonnam Dragons 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.