Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 31/07, 12:30
Prediction: Brisbane Knights vs Mitchelton FC
Team pages: Brisbane Knights · Mitchelton FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Brisbane Knights1.89
Mitchelton FC2.5
1X2
Brisbane Knights
Draw
Mitchelton FC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Knights
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Mitchelton FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brisbane Knights
1–2–2
Mitchelton FC
(5 last)
- Mitchelton FC4-3Brisbane Knights
- Brisbane Knights3-2Mitchelton FC
- Mitchelton FC2-2Brisbane Knights
- Brisbane Knights4-5Mitchelton FC
- Mitchelton FC1-1Brisbane Knights
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brisbane Knights 1472 · Mitchelton FC 1510
| Brisbane Knights | Draw | Mitchelton FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| Market | 29% | 20% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mitchelton FC: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Knights | Mitchelton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 2.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Knights 1–2–2 Mitchelton FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Mitchelton FC | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Brisbane Knights |
| 11/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Brisbane Knights | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Mitchelton FC |
| 05/04/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Mitchelton FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Brisbane Knights |
| 20/01/18 Australia Friendlies | Brisbane Knights | 4-5 HT 2-3 | Mitchelton FC |
| 04/04/17 Australia FFA Cup | Mitchelton FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Knights |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 28 | 32 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 32 |
| 5 | Caloundra | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 46 | 29 |
| 6 | Souths United | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 28 |
| 7 | Virginia United | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | Southside Eagles | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 25 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 24 |
| 10 | Taringa Rovers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 41 | 22 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 45 | 22 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 56 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane Knights | Mitchelton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia United | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Grange Thistle | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Taringa Rovers | 3-1 W | 5-2 W |
| SWQ Thunder | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Souths United | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Caloundra | 6-2 W | 6-2 W |
| Southside Eagles | 1-2 L | 4-5 L |
| Samford Rangers | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Pine Hills | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 0-8 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 6 L | 4 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Mitchelton FC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane Knights
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 01/07 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-5 | 0-8 | 3 | 1 | L |
Mitchelton FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane Knights vs Mitchelton FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mitchelton FC win (51%). Probabilities: Brisbane Knights 29%, draw 20%, Mitchelton FC 51%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Knights vs Mitchelton FC?
The model expects 4.39 goals (Brisbane Knights 1.89 · Mitchelton FC 2.5), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane Knights vs Mitchelton FC?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.