Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 01/08, 10:00
Prediction: Moreton City Excelsior B vs Virginia United
Team pages: Moreton City Excelsior B · Virginia United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Moreton City Excelsior B2.3
Virginia United1.41
1X2
Moreton City Excelsior B
Draw
Virginia United
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Moreton City Excelsior B
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Virginia United
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moreton City Excelsior B
0–1–0
Virginia United
(1 last)
- Virginia United1-1Moreton City Excelsior B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moreton City Excelsior B 1524 · Virginia United 1494
| Moreton City Excelsior B | Draw | Virginia United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moreton City Excelsior B | Virginia United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/0/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moreton City Excelsior B 0–1–0 Virginia United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Virginia United | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Moreton City Excelsior B |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 28 | 32 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 32 |
| 5 | Caloundra | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 46 | 29 |
| 6 | Souths United | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 28 |
| 7 | Virginia United | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | Southside Eagles | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 25 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 24 |
| 10 | Taringa Rovers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 41 | 22 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 45 | 22 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 56 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moreton City Excelsior B | Virginia United |
|---|---|---|
| Grange Thistle | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 5-0 W | 2-3 L |
| SWQ Thunder | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Southside Eagles | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Souths United | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Samford Rangers | 8-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Caloundra | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Pine Hills | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Mitchelton FC | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 8-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moreton City Excelsior B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
5-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
Virginia United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/06 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Virginia United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moreton City Excelsior B win (57%). Probabilities: Moreton City Excelsior B 57%, draw 21%, Virginia United 22%.
How many goals are expected in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Virginia United?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Moreton City Excelsior B 2.3 · Virginia United 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Virginia United?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.