Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kvik Halden FK vs Notodden

Team pages: Kvik Halden FK · Notodden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Kvik Halden FK1.54

Notodden1.21

1X2

44% 26% 29%

Kvik Halden FK Draw Notodden

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kvik Halden FK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLWLW

Notodden 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Kvik Halden FK 1–1–4 Notodden (6 last)

Notodden1-1Kvik Halden FK
Notodden3-0Kvik Halden FK
Kvik Halden FK2-3Notodden
Notodden2-1Kvik Halden FK
Kvik Halden FK3-0Notodden
Kvik Halden FK3-4Notodden

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kvik Halden FK 1513 · Notodden 1552

	Kvik Halden FK	Draw	Notodden
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Notodden: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kvik Halden FK	Notodden
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +14’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kvik Halden FK 1–1–4 Notodden

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Notodden	1-1 HT 0-0	Kvik Halden FK
07/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Notodden	3-0 HT 1-0	Kvik Halden FK
20/05/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Kvik Halden FK	2-3 HT 1-0	Notodden
15/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Notodden	2-1 HT 1-0	Kvik Halden FK
18/04/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Kvik Halden FK	3-0 HT 1-0	Notodden
12/02/22 Europe Friendlies	Kvik Halden FK	3-4 HT 2-3	Notodden

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	16	11	3	2	34	17	36
2	Brattvåg	16	10	2	4	32	16	32
3	Mjondalen	16	10	2	4	30	20	32
4	Kvik Halden FK	16	9	3	4	28	19	30
5	Sotra	16	8	3	5	32	16	27
6	Notodden	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
7	Bjarg	16	8	2	6	27	24	26
8	Træff	16	7	4	5	29	25	25
9	Arendal	16	5	5	6	23	25	20
10	Pors Grenland	16	5	5	6	18	21	20
11	Sandviken	16	4	3	9	23	35	15
12	Lysekloster	16	3	5	8	18	32	14
13	Vidar	16	1	3	12	14	44	6
14	Eik Tønsberg	16	1	1	14	17	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kvik Halden FK	Notodden
Lysekloster	1-0 W	2-0 W
Mjondalen	0-1 L	1-0 W
Sandviken	5-4 W	1-0 W
Sotra	2-1 W	1-0 W
Jerv	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Notodden (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kvik Halden FK

DLWDWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
08/08	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
01/08	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	3-3	5-4	8	5	W
26/07	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-1	14	5	L
27/06	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	4-2	7	4	W
20/06	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
13/06	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
31/05	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
23/05	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	1-2	10	4	L
16/05	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Notodden

WLDWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
08/08	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
01/08	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
25/07	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
27/06	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
20/06	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
14/06	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
31/05	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
25/05	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
16/05	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-0	2-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kvik Halden FK vs Notodden?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kvik Halden FK win (44%). Probabilities: Kvik Halden FK 44%, draw 26%, Notodden 29%.

How many goals are expected in Kvik Halden FK vs Notodden?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Kvik Halden FK 1.54 · Notodden 1.21), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kvik Halden FK vs Notodden?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.