Prediction: Bjarg vs Arendal

Team pages: Bjarg · Arendal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Bjarg1.78
Arendal1.16
1X2
51% 24% 24%
Bjarg Draw Arendal
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Bjarg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLWLDW
Arendal 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Bjarg 1–0 Arendal (1 last)
  • Arendal0-2Bjarg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bjarg 1559 · Arendal 1549
BjargDrawArendal
Our model51%25%24%
Market52%23%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BjargArendal
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 12 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.33.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.32.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bjarg 100 Arendal

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Norway Division 2 Group 1
Arendal0-2
HT 0-1
Bjarg

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jerv 181332 381742
2 Brattvåg 181134 372036
3 Mjondalen 181026 302432
4 Kvik Halden FK 18945 282031
5 Sotra 17935 351730
6 Bjarg 17926 282429
7 Notodden 17845 221428
8 Træff 17755 312726
9 Arendal 17656 252623
10 Pors Grenland 17557 182220
11 Sandviken 18549 293919
12 Lysekloster 17359 193414
13 Vidar 171412 16467
14 Eik Tønsberg 181116 18444

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBjargArendal
Pors Grenland 1-1 D 2-1 W
Sotra 1-3 L 0-3 L
Lysekloster 3-0 W 2-1 W
Vidar 3-1 W 3-1 W
Træff 3-2 W 3-1 W
Eik Tønsberg 2-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bjarg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bjarg

WWWWLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-0 73 W
16/08 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-1 D
08/08 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 1-3 54 L
01/08 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 3-0 W
25/07 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-1 86 L
27/06 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-1 12 L
20/06 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 3-1 W
14/06 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-1 3-2 87 W
30/05 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-0 42 W
25/05 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-1 43 W

Arendal

DDDWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 2-1 50 W
15/08 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 3-1 82 W
08/08 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 2-1 13 W
02/08 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-3 0-3 43 L
25/07 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 4-0 102 W
27/06 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 4-2 114 W
21/06 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 3-1 74 W
13/06 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-0 64 D
31/05 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 1-1 12 D
25/05 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bjarg vs Arendal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bjarg win (51%). Probabilities: Bjarg 51%, draw 24%, Arendal 24%.

How many goals are expected in Bjarg vs Arendal?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Bjarg 1.78 · Arendal 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bjarg vs Arendal?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.