Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: Pors Grenland vs Træff

Team pages: Pors Grenland · Træff

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Pors Grenland1.61

Træff1.55

1X2

39% 25% 36%

Pors Grenland Draw Træff

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pors Grenland 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWDLDL

Træff 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Pors Grenland 0–3–0 Træff (3 last)

Træff3-3Pors Grenland
Træff3-3Pors Grenland
Pors Grenland1-1Træff

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pors Grenland 1515 · Træff 1536

	Pors Grenland	Draw	Træff
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pors Grenland	Træff
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	1.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.53 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.51

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:09 +25’	2.35	3.50	2.50
19:07 +9’	2.30▼	3.60▲	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:07 +9’	2.53	3.37	2.51
23:08 +16’	2.53	3.36▼	2.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pors Grenland 0–3–0 Træff

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Træff	3-3 HT 2-1	Pors Grenland
12/07/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Træff	3-3 HT 2-1	Pors Grenland
06/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Pors Grenland	1-1 HT 0-1	Træff

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	18	13	3	2	38	17	42
2	Brattvåg	18	11	3	4	37	20	36
3	Mjondalen	18	10	2	6	30	24	32
4	Kvik Halden FK	18	9	4	5	28	20	31
5	Sotra	17	9	3	5	35	17	30
6	Bjarg	17	9	2	6	28	24	29
7	Notodden	17	8	4	5	22	14	28
8	Træff	17	7	5	5	31	27	26
9	Arendal	17	6	5	6	25	26	23
10	Pors Grenland	17	5	5	7	18	22	20
11	Sandviken	18	5	4	9	29	39	19
12	Lysekloster	17	3	5	9	19	34	14
13	Vidar	17	1	4	12	16	46	7
14	Eik Tønsberg	18	1	1	16	18	44	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pors Grenland	Træff
Jerv	0-1 L	3-2 W
Bjarg	1-1 D	2-3 L
Arendal	1-2 L	1-3 L
Eik Tønsberg	2-0 W	1-0 W
Vidar	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pors Grenland (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pors Grenland

DWDWLWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
16/08	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
01/08	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
25/07	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
27/06	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	2-4	1	4	L
20/06	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
13/06	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
31/05	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	3-3	1	2	D

Træff

DDLLWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
02/08	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
26/07	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
27/06	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	3-1	4	5	W
21/06	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
14/06	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	2-3	0	7	L
30/05	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
24/05	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	3-3	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pors Grenland vs Træff?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pors Grenland win (39%). Probabilities: Pors Grenland 39%, draw 25%, Træff 36%.

How many goals are expected in Pors Grenland vs Træff?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Pors Grenland 1.61 · Træff 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pors Grenland vs Træff?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.