Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 06/09, 14:00
Prediction: Notodden vs Lysekloster
Team pages: Notodden · Lysekloster
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Notodden1.96
Lysekloster0.89
1X2
Notodden
Draw
Lysekloster
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Notodden
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Lysekloster
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Notodden
2–2–1
Lysekloster
(5 last)
- Lysekloster0-2Notodden
- Notodden0-2Lysekloster
- Lysekloster0-0Notodden
- Lysekloster1-2Notodden
- Notodden1-1Lysekloster
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Notodden (rating 1543 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Notodden: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Notodden | Lysekloster | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 2.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Notodden 2–2–1 Lysekloster
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Lysekloster | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Notodden |
| 10/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Notodden | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lysekloster |
| 31/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Lysekloster | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Notodden |
| 24/08/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Lysekloster | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Notodden |
| 28/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Notodden | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lysekloster |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 36 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden FK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 31 |
| 5 | Sotra | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 30 |
| 6 | Bjarg | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 29 |
| 7 | Notodden | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 28 |
| 8 | Træff | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 27 | 26 |
| 9 | Arendal | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 39 | 19 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 46 | 7 |
| 14 | Eik Tønsberg | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 44 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Notodden | Lysekloster |
|---|---|---|
| Kvik Halden FK | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Brattvåg | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Sandviken | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Jerv | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lysekloster (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Notodden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Lysekloster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Notodden vs Lysekloster?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Notodden win (61%). Probabilities: Notodden 61%, draw 23%, Lysekloster 15%.
How many goals are expected in Notodden vs Lysekloster?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Notodden 1.96 · Lysekloster 0.89), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Notodden vs Lysekloster?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.