Prediction: Bjarg vs Mjondalen

Team pages: Bjarg · Mjondalen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Bjarg1.79
Mjondalen1.36
1X2
47% 24% 29%
Bjarg Draw Mjondalen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Bjarg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLLWLD
Mjondalen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Bjarg 0–1 Mjondalen (1 last)
  • Mjondalen1-0Bjarg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bjarg 1524 · Mjondalen 1547
BjargDrawMjondalen
Our model47%25%28%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BjargMjondalen
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.62 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.62.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.33.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bjarg 001 Mjondalen

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Norway Division 2 Group 1
Mjondalen1-0
HT 1-0
Bjarg

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jerv 161132 341736
2 Brattvåg 161024 321632
3 Mjondalen 161024 302032
4 Kvik Halden FK 16934 281930
5 Sotra 16835 321627
6 Notodden 16835 221427
7 Bjarg 16826 272426
8 Træff 16745 292525
9 Arendal 16556 232520
10 Pors Grenland 16556 182120
11 Sandviken 16439 233515
12 Lysekloster 16358 183214
13 Vidar 161312 14446
14 Eik Tønsberg 161114 17394

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBjargMjondalen
Pors Grenland 1-1 D 0-1 L
Eik Tønsberg 2-0 W 2-1 W
Brattvåg 2-6 L 5-3 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bjarg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bjarg

LWWWWLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-1 D
08/08 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 1-3 54 L
01/08 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 3-0 W
25/07 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-1 86 L
27/06 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-1 12 L
20/06 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 3-1 W
14/06 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-1 3-2 87 W
30/05 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-0 42 W
25/05 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-1 43 W
14/05 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-5 2-6 23 L

Mjondalen

WWLDWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 2-1 101 W
08/08 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-0 21 W
01/08 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-1 34 L
25/07 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 5-3 W
27/06 Bjarg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-0 32 W
20/06 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-1 65 W
13/06 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-1 3-3 54 D
31/05 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-1 23 L
23/05 Sandviken
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 4-0 62 W
16/05 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-1 67 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bjarg vs Mjondalen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bjarg win (47%). Probabilities: Bjarg 47%, draw 24%, Mjondalen 29%.

How many goals are expected in Bjarg vs Mjondalen?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Bjarg 1.79 · Mjondalen 1.36), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bjarg vs Mjondalen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.