Football · Georgia First League · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: FC Telavi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi

Team pages: FC Telavi · FC Sioni Bolnisi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

FC Telavi1.68

FC Sioni Bolnisi0.92

1X2

54% 26% 20%

FC Telavi Draw FC Sioni Bolnisi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Telavi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Sioni Bolnisi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Telavi 2–2–2 FC Sioni Bolnisi (6 last)

FC Sioni Bolnisi2-1FC Telavi
FC Telavi2-1FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi3-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi0-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi0-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi2-0FC Sioni Bolnisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Telavi 1476 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1484

	FC Telavi	Draw	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Our model	54%	27%	20%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Telavi	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	1.4 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.4	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +22’	1.65	3.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Telavi 2–2–2 FC Sioni Bolnisi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Telavi
20/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
03/04/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	3-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
09/10/22 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
02/07/22 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
03/05/22 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	31	15	9	7	37	33	54
2	SFC Shturmi	31	13	10	8	34	30	49
3	FC Telavi	31	12	11	8	35	31	47
4	Merani Martvili	31	12	7	12	36	40	43
5	FC Samtredia	31	13	4	14	55	43	43
6	Aragvi Dusheti	31	11	7	13	32	41	40
7	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	31	10	9	12	33	41	39
8	FC Sioni Bolnisi	31	9	10	12	36	38	37
9	Kolkheti Poti	31	8	11	12	42	36	35
10	FC Gori	31	8	10	13	30	37	34

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Telavi	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Merani Martvili	0-2 L	1-2 L
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Gareji	1-2 L	3-3 D
Aragvi Dusheti	4-1 W	1-2 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-1 D	0-0 D
SFC Shturmi	1-1 D	0-1 L
FC Gori	2-2 D	1-0 W
FC Samtredia	0-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sioni Bolnisi (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Telavi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-2	3	10	L
24/10	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
17/10	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
10/10	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
20/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
16/09	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
07/09	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-3	8	10	L
29/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-1	1-2	8	6	L
22/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

FC Sioni Bolnisi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
24/10	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
17/10	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
10/10	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
20/09	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
16/09	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
12/09	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
06/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-1	3-3	5	6	D
29/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
22/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Telavi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Telavi win (54%). Probabilities: FC Telavi 54%, draw 26%, FC Sioni Bolnisi 20%.

How many goals are expected in FC Telavi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model expects 2.6 goals (FC Telavi 1.68 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Telavi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.