Football · USA NWSL Women · 05/09, 03:30

Prediction: Utah Royals (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

Team pages: Utah Royals (W) · Boston Legacy FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Utah Royals (W)2.1

Boston Legacy FC (W)1.36

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Utah Royals (W) Draw Boston Legacy FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Utah Royals (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Boston Legacy FC (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Utah Royals (W) 1–0 Boston Legacy FC (W) (1 last)

Boston Legacy FC (W)1-2Utah Royals (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utah Royals (W) (rating 1515 vs 1460).
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Utah Royals (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	1.9 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.68▼	Pinn 1.68
X	3.69 → 4.06▲	Pinn 4.06
2	3.86 → 3.96▲	Pinn 3.96

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:22	1.72	3.69	3.86
03:16	1.68▼	4.06▲	3.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Utah Royals (W) 1–0–0 Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 USA NWSL Women	Boston Legacy FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Utah Royals (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	22	12	3	7	39	28	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
7	Kansas City Current (W)	22	10	4	8	35	31	34
8	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
9	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
10	Angel City FC (W)	20	7	5	8	27	22	26
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	22	7	2	13	34	43	23
14	Bay FC (W)	21	6	4	11	21	28	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	21	5	5	11	24	34	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Utah Royals (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Orlando Pride (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Bay FC (W)	3-2 W	2-2 D
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Portland Thorns (W)	5-1 W	3-4 L
Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
North Carolina Courage (W)	4-1 W	1-2 L
Chicago Stars (W)	2-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Utah Royals (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Utah Royals (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
22/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-4	5	0	L
15/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	3-2	7	1	W
09/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
03/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	5-1	5	0	W
30/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
26/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
19/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
05/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	4	2	L

Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
16/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-4	2	0	L
09/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-4	3-4	6	6	L
03/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	1	3	L
16/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
11/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
05/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-2	6	4	D
30/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utah Royals (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Utah Royals (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Utah Royals (W) 53%, draw 23%, Boston Legacy FC (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Utah Royals (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Utah Royals (W) 2.1 · Boston Legacy FC (W) 1.36), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Utah Royals (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.