Football · USA NWSL Women · 17/09, 03:30

Prediction: Denver Summit FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)

Team pages: Denver Summit FC (W) · Bay FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Denver Summit FC (W)1.77

Bay FC (W)1.02

1X2

54% 26% 21%

Denver Summit FC (W) Draw Bay FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Denver Summit FC (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDLWWD

Bay FC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWLLL

Head-to-head

Denver Summit FC (W) 0–1 Bay FC (W) (1 last)

Bay FC (W)2-1Denver Summit FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denver Summit FC (W) (rating 1508 vs 1451).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Denver Summit FC (W)	Bay FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	1.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.79

Under 2.752.01

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.78 → 1.78	Pinn 1.78
X	3.78 → 3.78	Pinn 3.78
2	3.76 → 3.76	Pinn 3.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:26 +67’	1.78	3.78	3.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Denver Summit FC (W) 0–0–1 Bay FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Denver Summit FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	24	14	6	4	29	18	48
2	Washington Spirit (W)	23	13	4	6	33	20	43
3	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
4	San Diego Wave (W)	24	13	3	8	34	27	42
5	North Carolina Courage (W)	24	12	3	9	47	35	39
6	Kansas City Current (W)	24	11	5	8	39	34	38
7	Portland Thorns (W)	23	11	5	7	37	32	38
8	Reign FC (W)	23	11	4	8	29	26	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	23	9	6	8	37	27	33
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	23	8	7	8	37	30	31
11	Orlando Pride (W)	24	9	3	12	31	36	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	23	6	5	12	28	40	23
15	Bay FC (W)	23	6	4	13	22	32	22
16	Chicago Stars (W)	23	5	1	17	13	53	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Denver Summit FC (W)	Bay FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
Chicago Stars (W)	6-1 W	0-0 D
Utah Royals (W)	2-1 W	2-3 L
North Carolina Courage (W)	0-2 L	3-0 W
Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Denver Summit FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Denver Summit FC (W)

WLDLWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	3-3	1	2	D
06/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	3	0	W
30/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	6-1	3	1	W
23/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
09/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
03/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
27/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
18/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	6	2	W

Bay FC (W)

WLLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
05/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
24/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	2-3	3	1	L
10/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
02/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-3	3	5	L
30/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
25/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
18/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	2	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Denver Summit FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Denver Summit FC (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Denver Summit FC (W) 54%, draw 26%, Bay FC (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Denver Summit FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Denver Summit FC (W) 1.77 · Bay FC (W) 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Denver Summit FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.