Football · USA NWSL Women · 26/09, 00:30

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

Team pages: Racing Louisville FC (W) · San Diego Wave (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.7

San Diego Wave (W)1.64

1X2

39% 25% 36%

Racing Louisville FC (W) Draw San Diego Wave (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Louisville FC (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLLLL

San Diego Wave (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Racing Louisville FC (W) 1–1–4 San Diego Wave (W) (6 last)

San Diego Wave (W)3-2Racing Louisville FC (W)
San Diego Wave (W)0-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-4San Diego Wave (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-3San Diego Wave (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-0San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)2-0Racing Louisville FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Diego Wave (W) (rating 1488 vs 1534).
H2H favours San Diego Wave (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Louisville FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 31.99

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.77 → 3.77	Pinn 3.77
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.00
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:57 +10’	3.77	4.00	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 1–1–4 San Diego Wave (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	3-2 HT 0-2	Racing Louisville FC (W)
25/08/25 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
19/04/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	San Diego Wave (W)
03/11/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	San Diego Wave (W)
14/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)
15/10/23 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	25	15	6	4	31	19	51
2	San Diego Wave (W)	25	14	3	8	36	27	45
3	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
4	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
5	Portland Thorns (W)	25	12	6	7	42	34	42
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
7	Kansas City Current (W)	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
8	Reign FC (W)	25	11	4	10	31	31	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	28	36
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	25	9	8	8	41	33	35
11	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Bay FC (W)	24	6	5	13	24	34	23
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	24	5	2	17	14	54	17

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Louisville FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Reign FC (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Kansas City Current (W)	1-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
29/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W
08/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	9	1	W
01/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
30/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
27/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

San Diego Wave (W)

DLWLDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
13/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
07/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
29/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	11	4	W
22/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-2	2	0	W
15/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
08/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
02/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
18/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Louisville FC (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 39%, draw 25%, San Diego Wave (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.7 · San Diego Wave (W) 1.64), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.