Football · USA NWSL Women · 27/09, 02:45

Prediction: Portland Thorns (W) vs Houston Dash (W)

Team pages: Portland Thorns (W) · Houston Dash (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Portland Thorns (W)1.83

Houston Dash (W)1.17

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Portland Thorns (W) Draw Houston Dash (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Thorns (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDLDW

Houston Dash (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Portland Thorns (W) 4–1–1 Houston Dash (W) (6 last)

Houston Dash (W)1-1Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-0Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)1-4Portland Thorns (W)
Houston Dash (W)0-2Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)4-1Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Thorns (W) (rating 1522 vs 1478).
H2H favours Portland Thorns (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Thorns (W)	Houston Dash (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.2	1.5 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.55
X	4.29 → 4.29	Pinn 4.29
2	4.61 → 4.61	Pinn 4.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:17 +116’	1.55	4.29	4.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Thorns (W) 4–1–1 Houston Dash (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Women’s Friendly	Houston Dash (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
02/11/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Houston Dash (W)
17/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	1-4 HT 0-3	Portland Thorns (W)
18/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
21/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Houston Dash (W)
13/05/23 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Portland Thorns (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	25	15	6	4	31	19	51
2	San Diego Wave (W)	25	14	3	8	36	27	45
3	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
4	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
5	Portland Thorns (W)	25	12	6	7	42	34	42
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
7	Kansas City Current (W)	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
8	Reign FC (W)	25	11	4	10	31	31	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	28	36
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	25	9	8	8	41	33	35
11	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Bay FC (W)	24	6	5	13	24	34	23
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	24	5	2	17	14	54	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Thorns (W)	Houston Dash (W)
Orlando Pride (W)	4-1 W	1-3 L
Chicago Stars (W)	1-1 D	5-0 W
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Boston Legacy FC (W)	4-3 W	2-1 W
Utah Royals (W)	1-5 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portland Thorns (W)

LDLWWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
14/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
06/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
29/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
09/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	4-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
25/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
18/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L

Houston Dash (W)

WLDWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
13/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
07/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
31/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
24/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
20/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	3	2	W
17/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	4	1	W
09/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	0	0	D
02/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
25/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Thorns (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Thorns (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Portland Thorns (W) 52%, draw 25%, Houston Dash (W) 23%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Thorns (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model expects 3 goals (Portland Thorns (W) 1.83 · Houston Dash (W) 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Thorns (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.