Football · USA NWSL Women · 26/09, 02:30

Prediction: Reign FC (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

Team pages: Reign FC (W) · Boston Legacy FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Reign FC (W)1.87

Boston Legacy FC (W)1.11

1X2

54% 25% 21%

Reign FC (W) Draw Boston Legacy FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Reign FC (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Boston Legacy FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Reign FC (W) 1–0 Boston Legacy FC (W) (1 last)

Boston Legacy FC (W)1-2Reign FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reign FC (W) (rating 1527 vs 1468).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reign FC (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.97

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.31 → 2.31	Pinn 2.31
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	2.68 → 2.68	Pinn 2.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:24 +38’	2.31	3.51	2.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Reign FC (W) 1–0–0 Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 USA NWSL Women	Boston Legacy FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Reign FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	25	15	6	4	31	19	51
2	San Diego Wave (W)	25	14	3	8	36	27	45
3	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
4	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
5	Portland Thorns (W)	25	12	6	7	42	34	42
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
7	Kansas City Current (W)	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
8	Reign FC (W)	25	11	4	10	31	31	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	28	36
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	25	9	8	8	41	33	35
11	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Bay FC (W)	24	6	5	13	24	34	23
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	24	5	2	17	14	54	17

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reign FC (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Angel City FC (W)	1-3 L	2-5 L
Kansas City Current (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reign FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
17/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-3	2	4	L
13/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
07/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
31/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
23/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
20/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	12	1	L
15/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	13	0	W
10/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
02/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	3-2	3	5	W

Boston Legacy FC (W)

WLWDLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
05/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
01/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-5	5	0	L
23/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
16/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-4	2	0	L
09/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-4	3-4	6	6	L
03/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	1	3	L
16/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reign FC (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reign FC (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Reign FC (W) 54%, draw 25%, Boston Legacy FC (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Reign FC (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Reign FC (W) 1.87 · Boston Legacy FC (W) 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Reign FC (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.