Football · USA NWSL Women · 26/09, 02:00

Prediction: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)

Team pages: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) · Chicago Stars (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2.2

Chicago Stars (W)0.74

1X2

70% 20% 10%

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) Draw Chicago Stars (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDDLWW

Chicago Stars (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWLLD

Head-to-head

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 3–3–0 Chicago Stars (W) (6 last)

Chicago Stars (W)0-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Chicago Stars (W)1-1NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-0Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)0-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Chicago Stars (W)0-0NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2-1Chicago Stars (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (rating 1575 vs 1412).
H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	1.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.92

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Pinn 1.11
X	8.91 → 8.91	Pinn 8.91
2	13.36 → 13.36	Pinn 13.36

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:33 +33’	1.11	8.91	13.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 3–3–0 Chicago Stars (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
02/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
04/05/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Chicago Stars (W)
12/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
20/07/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women	Chicago Stars (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
19/05/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Chicago Stars (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	25	15	6	4	31	19	51
2	San Diego Wave (W)	25	14	3	8	36	27	45
3	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
4	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
5	Portland Thorns (W)	25	12	6	7	42	34	42
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
7	Kansas City Current (W)	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
8	Reign FC (W)	25	11	4	10	31	31	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	28	36
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	25	9	8	8	41	33	35
11	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Bay FC (W)	24	6	5	13	24	34	23
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	24	5	2	17	14	54	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)	2-1 W	0-6 L
Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
Denver Summit FC (W)	0-3 L	1-6 L
Portland Thorns (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Angel City FC (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Houston Dash (W)	1-0 W	0-5 L
Bay FC (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

DWWWWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
12/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
06/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	2	0	L
29/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
30/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	8	6	D

Chicago Stars (W)

LLLDLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
06/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-6	1	3	L
30/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-6	2	1	L
23/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-2	4	0	W
20/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	5	2	L
15/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
10/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
01/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	0	1	L
25/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (70%). Probabilities: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 70%, draw 20%, Chicago Stars (W) 10%.

How many goals are expected in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model expects 2.94 goals (NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 2.2 · Chicago Stars (W) 0.74), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.