Football · USA NWSL Women · 28/09, 01:00

Prediction: Utah Royals (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)

Team pages: Utah Royals (W) · North Carolina Courage (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Utah Royals (W)2.04

North Carolina Courage (W)1.63

1X2

47% 23% 30%

Utah Royals (W) Draw North Carolina Courage (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Utah Royals (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWLW

North Carolina Courage (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Utah Royals (W) 2–1–3 North Carolina Courage (W) (6 last)

North Carolina Courage (W)1-4Utah Royals (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-1Utah Royals (W)
Utah Royals (W)0-2North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-0Utah Royals (W)
Utah Royals (W)2-1North Carolina Courage (W)
Utah Royals (W)0-3North Carolina Courage (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours North Carolina Courage (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Utah Royals (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	2.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.3	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.92

Under 31.87

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.26 → 2.26	Pinn 2.26
X	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62
2	2.68 → 2.68	Pinn 2.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:53 +25’	2.26	3.62	2.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Utah Royals (W) 2–1–3 North Carolina Courage (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Utah Royals (W)
07/09/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Utah Royals (W)
04/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	North Carolina Courage (W)
18/05/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Utah Royals (W)
23/03/24 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	North Carolina Courage (W)
22/09/19 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	25	15	6	4	31	19	51
2	San Diego Wave (W)	25	14	3	8	36	27	45
3	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
4	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
5	Portland Thorns (W)	25	12	6	7	42	34	42
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
7	Kansas City Current (W)	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
8	Reign FC (W)	25	11	4	10	31	31	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	28	36
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	25	9	8	8	41	33	35
11	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Bay FC (W)	24	6	5	13	24	34	23
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	24	5	2	17	14	54	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Utah Royals (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Houston Dash (W)	1-0 W	2-3 L
Boston Legacy FC (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Orlando Pride (W)	2-1 W	5-0 W
San Diego Wave (W)	2-4 L	1-2 L
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: North Carolina Courage (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Utah Royals (W)

WWLWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
05/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
30/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
22/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-4	5	0	L
15/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	3-2	7	1	W
09/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
03/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	5-1	5	0	W
30/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
26/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
19/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W

North Carolina Courage (W)

WWWLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
13/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
06/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
30/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-3	4	7	L
27/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
23/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
17/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
09/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-3	2	4	W
06/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
01/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utah Royals (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Utah Royals (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Utah Royals (W) 47%, draw 23%, North Carolina Courage (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in Utah Royals (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Utah Royals (W) 2.04 · North Carolina Courage (W) 1.63), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Utah Royals (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.