Football · USA NWSL Women · 27/09, 23:00

Prediction: Bay FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)

Team pages: Bay FC (W) · Orlando Pride (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Bay FC (W)1.49

Orlando Pride (W)1.29

1X2

41% 28% 32%

Bay FC (W) Draw Orlando Pride (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bay FC (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Orlando Pride (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bay FC (W) 0–1–4 Orlando Pride (W) (5 last)

Orlando Pride (W)3-1Bay FC (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-1Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)0-1Orlando Pride (W)
Bay FC (W)0-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-0Bay FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 4-1-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bay FC (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.1	3.9 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.21 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.25
X	3.44 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.50
2	2.71 → 2.76▲	Pinn 2.76

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +3’	2.21	3.44	2.71
02:14 +4’	2.25▲	3.50▲	2.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bay FC (W) 0–1–4 Orlando Pride (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Bay FC (W)
13/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Bay FC (W)
14/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
21/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
12/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Bay FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	25	15	6	4	31	19	51
2	San Diego Wave (W)	25	14	3	8	36	27	45
3	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
4	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
5	Portland Thorns (W)	25	12	6	7	42	34	42
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
7	Kansas City Current (W)	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
8	Reign FC (W)	25	11	4	10	31	31	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	28	36
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	25	9	8	8	41	33	35
11	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Bay FC (W)	24	6	5	13	24	34	23
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	24	5	2	17	14	54	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bay FC (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Kansas City Current (W)	1-2 L	2-2 D
Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Houston Dash (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Utah Royals (W)	2-3 L	1-2 L
Chicago Stars (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Orlando Pride (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bay FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
13/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
05/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
24/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	2-3	3	1	L
10/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
02/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-3	3	5	L
30/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
25/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

Orlando Pride (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-4	8	2	L
12/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
07/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-1	8	3	W
30/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
23/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
16/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
08/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
01/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	10	3	L
25/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bay FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bay FC (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Bay FC (W) 41%, draw 28%, Orlando Pride (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Bay FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Bay FC (W) 1.49 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.29), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bay FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.