Football · USA NWSL Women · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Utah Royals (W)

Team pages: Racing Louisville FC (W) · Utah Royals (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.73

Utah Royals (W)1.8

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Racing Louisville FC (W) Draw Utah Royals (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Louisville FC (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Utah Royals (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Racing Louisville FC (W) 2–3 Utah Royals (W) (5 last)

Utah Royals (W)2-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Utah Royals (W)3-2Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)3-2Utah Royals (W)
Utah Royals (W)1-0Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)5-1Utah Royals (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utah Royals (W) (rating 1442 vs 1507).
H2H favours Utah Royals (W): 3-0-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Utah Royals (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	1.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.94

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.21 → 3.21	Pinn 3.21
X	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
2	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +47’	3.21	3.82	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 2–0–3 Utah Royals (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
20/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	3-2 HT 3-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
07/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	3-2 HT 2-2	Utah Royals (W)
29/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
20/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	5-1 HT 1-1	Utah Royals (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	26	16	6	4	34	20	54
2	San Diego Wave (W)	26	15	3	8	38	27	48
3	Washington Spirit (W)	26	14	4	8	36	24	46
4	Portland Thorns (W)	26	12	7	7	43	35	43
5	Angel City FC (W)	26	12	6	8	44	28	42
6	Utah Royals (W)	25	13	3	9	41	33	42
7	Kansas City Current (W)	26	12	5	9	43	37	41
8	Reign FC (W)	26	12	4	10	33	31	40
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	26	9	8	9	42	37	35
11	Houston Dash (W)	26	8	6	12	32	36	30
12	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
13	Bay FC (W)	25	7	5	13	26	34	26
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	26	7	5	14	32	44	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	26	7	2	17	35	51	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	26	5	2	19	15	60	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Utah Royals (W)
San Diego Wave (W)	0-2 L	2-4 L
Bay FC (W)	0-2 L	3-2 W
Angel City FC (W)	0-2 L	0-3 L
Boston Legacy FC (W)	4-1 W	1-2 L
Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Louisville FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
21/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
12/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
29/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W
08/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	9	1	W
01/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W

Utah Royals (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
13/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
05/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
30/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
22/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-4	5	0	L
15/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	3-2	7	1	W
09/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
03/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	5-1	5	0	W
30/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
26/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	4-1	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Utah Royals (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 37%, draw 24%, Utah Royals (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.73 · Utah Royals (W) 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.