Football · USA NWSL Women · 04/10, 02:45

Prediction: Portland Thorns (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

Team pages: Portland Thorns (W) · Boston Legacy FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Portland Thorns (W)2.02

Boston Legacy FC (W)1.32

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Portland Thorns (W) Draw Boston Legacy FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Thorns (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDLDWD

Boston Legacy FC (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Portland Thorns (W) 1–0 Boston Legacy FC (W) (1 last)

Boston Legacy FC (W)3-4Portland Thorns (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Thorns (W) (rating 1519 vs 1469).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Thorns (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.9	1.5 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.03 → 2.03	Pinn 2.03
X	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59
2	3.12 → 3.12	Pinn 3.12

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:25 +590’	2.03	3.59	3.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Thorns (W) 1–0–0 Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 USA NWSL Women	Boston Legacy FC (W)	3-4 HT 2-4	Portland Thorns (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	26	16	6	4	34	20	54
2	San Diego Wave (W)	26	15	3	8	38	27	48
3	Washington Spirit (W)	26	14	4	8	36	24	46
4	Portland Thorns (W)	26	12	7	7	43	35	43
5	Angel City FC (W)	26	12	6	8	44	28	42
6	Utah Royals (W)	25	13	3	9	41	33	42
7	Kansas City Current (W)	26	12	5	9	43	37	41
8	Reign FC (W)	26	12	4	10	33	31	40
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	26	9	8	9	42	37	35
11	Houston Dash (W)	26	8	6	12	32	36	30
12	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
13	Bay FC (W)	25	7	5	13	26	34	26
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	26	7	5	14	32	44	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	26	7	2	17	35	51	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	26	5	2	19	15	60	17

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Thorns (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Houston Dash (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Washington Spirit (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Utah Royals (W)	1-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portland Thorns (W)

DLWWWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
19/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
14/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
06/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
29/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
09/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	4-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
25/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	6	D

Boston Legacy FC (W)

WDLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
20/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
13/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
05/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
01/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-5	5	0	L
23/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
16/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-4	2	0	L
09/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-4	3-4	6	6	L
03/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Thorns (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Thorns (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Portland Thorns (W) 53%, draw 23%, Boston Legacy FC (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Thorns (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Portland Thorns (W) 2.02 · Boston Legacy FC (W) 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Thorns (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.