Football · USA NWSL Women · 04/10, 22:00
Prediction: Chicago Stars (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)
Team pages: Chicago Stars (W) · Denver Summit FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Chicago Stars (W)1.53
Denver Summit FC (W)1.83
1X2
Chicago Stars (W)
Draw
Denver Summit FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Chicago Stars (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Denver Summit FC (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chicago Stars (W)
0–1
Denver Summit FC (W)
(1 last)
- Denver Summit FC (W)6-1Chicago Stars (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denver Summit FC (W) (rating 1411 vs 1511).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chicago Stars (W) | Denver Summit FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.9 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Stars (W) 0–0–1 Denver Summit FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 USA NWSL Women | Denver Summit FC (W) | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave (W) | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 46 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 43 |
| 5 | Angel City FC (W) | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Utah Royals (W) | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 42 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current (W) | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 37 | 41 |
| 8 | Reign FC (W) | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 40 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 35 |
| 11 | Houston Dash (W) | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 30 |
| 12 | Orlando Pride (W) | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 30 |
| 13 | Bay FC (W) | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 44 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 51 | 23 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 60 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chicago Stars (W) | Denver Summit FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Portland Thorns (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 0-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Reign FC (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Bay FC (W) | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Denver Summit FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chicago Stars (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/08 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
Denver Summit FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/08 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chicago Stars (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Denver Summit FC (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Chicago Stars (W) 31%, draw 25%, Denver Summit FC (W) 44%.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Stars (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Chicago Stars (W) 1.53 · Denver Summit FC (W) 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chicago Stars (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.