Football · USA NWSL Women · 04/10, 00:30

Prediction: Kansas City Current (W) vs Bay FC (W)

Team pages: Kansas City Current (W) · Bay FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Kansas City Current (W)1.92

Bay FC (W)1.11

1X2

55% 24% 21%

Kansas City Current (W) Draw Bay FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kansas City Current (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWWDLW

Bay FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Kansas City Current (W) 5–0 Bay FC (W) (5 last)

Bay FC (W)1-2Kansas City Current (W)
Bay FC (W)0-2Kansas City Current (W)
Kansas City Current (W)4-1Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)0-1Kansas City Current (W)
Kansas City Current (W)5-2Bay FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kansas City Current (W) (rating 1525 vs 1459).
H2H favours Kansas City Current (W): 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kansas City Current (W)	Bay FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.7	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.92

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.45
X	4.35 → 4.35	Pinn 4.35
2	5.22 → 5.22	Pinn 5.22

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:11 +8’	1.45	4.35	5.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kansas City Current (W) 5–0–0 Bay FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Kansas City Current (W)
07/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Kansas City Current (W)
11/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Kansas City Current (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	Bay FC (W)
13/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Kansas City Current (W)
21/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Kansas City Current (W)	5-2 HT 2-1	Bay FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	26	16	6	4	34	20	54
2	San Diego Wave (W)	26	15	3	8	38	27	48
3	Washington Spirit (W)	26	14	4	8	36	24	46
4	Portland Thorns (W)	26	12	7	7	43	35	43
5	Angel City FC (W)	26	12	6	8	44	28	42
6	Utah Royals (W)	25	13	3	9	41	33	42
7	Kansas City Current (W)	26	12	5	9	43	37	41
8	Reign FC (W)	26	12	4	10	33	31	40
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	26	9	8	9	42	37	35
11	Houston Dash (W)	26	8	6	12	32	36	30
12	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
13	Bay FC (W)	25	7	5	13	26	34	26
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	26	7	5	14	32	44	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	26	7	2	17	35	51	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	26	5	2	19	15	60	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kansas City Current (W)	Bay FC (W)
Denver Summit FC (W)	4-1 W	2-2 D
Reign FC (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Houston Dash (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Racing Louisville FC (W)	5-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kansas City Current (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kansas City Current (W)

WDDLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	4-1	9	1	W
19/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
12/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	13	2	D
05/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
30/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	3-1	3-2	4	7	W
23/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
15/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-2	3	1	L
09/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
02/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-1	7	5	D
30/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-1	3	3	W

Bay FC (W)

LLDLWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
17/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
13/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
05/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
24/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	2-3	3	1	L
10/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
02/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-3	3	5	L
30/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kansas City Current (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kansas City Current (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Kansas City Current (W) 55%, draw 24%, Bay FC (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Kansas City Current (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Kansas City Current (W) 1.92 · Bay FC (W) 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kansas City Current (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.