Football · USA NWSL Women · 03/10, 04:00

Prediction: Reign FC (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)

Team pages: Reign FC (W) · North Carolina Courage (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Reign FC (W)1.76

North Carolina Courage (W)1.38

1X2

45% 25% 29%

Reign FC (W) Draw North Carolina Courage (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Reign FC (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWLLW

North Carolina Courage (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Reign FC (W) 3–1–2 North Carolina Courage (W) (6 last)

North Carolina Courage (W)3-1Reign FC (W)
Reign FC (W)2-1North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-2Reign FC (W)
Reign FC (W)1-0North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-0Reign FC (W)
Reign FC (W)1-1North Carolina Courage (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Reign FC (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reign FC (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	2.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.76

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.73 → 2.73	Pinn 2.73
X	3.49 → 3.49	Pinn 3.49
2	2.28 → 2.28	Pinn 2.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +42’	2.73	3.49	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Reign FC (W) 3–1–2 North Carolina Courage (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Reign FC (W)
29/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
23/03/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Reign FC (W)
26/08/24 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
28/04/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Reign FC (W)
02/10/23 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	26	16	6	4	34	20	54
2	San Diego Wave (W)	26	15	3	8	38	27	48
3	Washington Spirit (W)	26	14	4	8	36	24	46
4	Portland Thorns (W)	26	12	7	7	43	35	43
5	Angel City FC (W)	26	12	6	8	44	28	42
6	Utah Royals (W)	25	13	3	9	41	33	42
7	Kansas City Current (W)	26	12	5	9	43	37	41
8	Reign FC (W)	26	12	4	10	33	31	40
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	26	9	8	9	42	37	35
11	Houston Dash (W)	26	8	6	12	32	36	30
12	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
13	Bay FC (W)	25	7	5	13	26	34	26
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	26	7	5	14	32	44	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	26	7	2	17	35	51	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	26	5	2	19	15	60	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reign FC (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Boston Legacy FC (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Angel City FC (W)	1-3 L	2-0 W
San Diego Wave (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Houston Dash (W)	1-0 W	2-3 L
Kansas City Current (W)	1-1 D	2-3 L
Chicago Stars (W)	1-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Reign FC (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reign FC (W)

DWLDWWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
20/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
17/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-3	2	4	L
13/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
07/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
31/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
23/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
20/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	12	1	L
15/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	13	0	W
10/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	3	2	D

North Carolina Courage (W)

WWWLWWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
13/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
06/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
30/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-3	4	7	L
27/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
23/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
17/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
09/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-3	2	4	W
06/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
01/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reign FC (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reign FC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Reign FC (W) 45%, draw 25%, North Carolina Courage (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Reign FC (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Reign FC (W) 1.76 · North Carolina Courage (W) 1.38), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Reign FC (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.