Football · USA NWSL Women · 17/10, 02:00

Prediction: Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)

Team pages: Boston Legacy FC (W) · Racing Louisville FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Boston Legacy FC (W)2.04

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.49

1X2

49% 23% 27%

Boston Legacy FC (W) Draw Racing Louisville FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Boston Legacy FC (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Racing Louisville FC (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Boston Legacy FC (W) 0–1 Racing Louisville FC (W) (1 last)

Racing Louisville FC (W)4-1Boston Legacy FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boston Legacy FC (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.3	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.79

Under 32.01

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.55▼	Pinn 1.55
X	4.18 → 4.21▲	Pinn 4.21
2	4.73 → 4.73	Pinn 4.73

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:56 +1323’	1.56	4.18	4.73
02:20 +1’	1.55▼	4.21▲	4.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston Legacy FC (W) 0–0–1 Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Boston Legacy FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	27	16	7	4	35	21	55
2	San Diego Wave (W)	27	16	3	8	40	28	51
3	Washington Spirit (W)	27	15	4	8	39	26	49
4	Utah Royals (W)	27	14	4	9	44	35	46
5	Kansas City Current (W)	27	13	5	9	48	38	44
6	Angel City FC (W)	27	12	7	8	45	29	43
7	Portland Thorns (W)	27	12	7	8	45	39	43
8	North Carolina Courage (W)	27	13	3	11	50	39	42
9	Reign FC (W)	27	12	4	11	33	32	40
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	27	10	8	9	45	37	38
11	Orlando Pride (W)	27	10	3	14	36	43	33
12	Houston Dash (W)	27	8	6	13	34	39	30
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	27	8	5	14	36	46	29
14	Bay FC (W)	27	7	5	15	28	42	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	27	7	3	17	36	52	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	27	5	2	20	15	63	17

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boston Legacy FC (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Reign FC (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Utah Royals (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Angel City FC (W)	2-5 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Louisville FC (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	4-2	4	6	W
26/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
20/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
13/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
05/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
01/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-5	5	0	L
23/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
16/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-4	2	0	L
09/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-4	3-4	6	6	L
03/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D

Racing Louisville FC (W)

WWWLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
26/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
21/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
12/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
29/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W
08/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Legacy FC (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Boston Legacy FC (W) 49%, draw 23%, Racing Louisville FC (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Boston Legacy FC (W) 2.04 · Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.49), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.