Football · USA NWSL Women · 25/10, 02:45

Prediction: Angel City FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)

Team pages: Angel City FC (W) · Bay FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Angel City FC (W)2.38

Bay FC (W)0.96

1X2

68% 19% 13%

Angel City FC (W) Draw Bay FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Angel City FC (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWWWDW

Bay FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWLLD

Head-to-head

Angel City FC (W) 3–3 Bay FC (W) (6 last)

Bay FC (W)1-3Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)2-1Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)2-0Angel City FC (W)
Bay FC (W)0-2Angel City FC (W)
Bay FC (W)1-0Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)0-1Bay FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angel City FC (W) (rating 1594 vs 1436).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Angel City FC (W)	Bay FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.91

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.65▲	Pinn 1.65
X	4.09 → 4.10▲	Pinn 4.10
2	4.62 → 4.14▼	Pinn 4.14

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:36 +39’	1.58	4.09	4.62
01:08 +8’	1.63▲	3.97▼	4.44▼
03:13	1.65▲	4.10▲	4.14▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel City FC (W) 3–0–3 Bay FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Angel City FC (W)
02/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Bay FC (W)
18/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Angel City FC (W)
27/07/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women	Bay FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Angel City FC (W)
23/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Angel City FC (W)
18/03/24 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Bay FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	28	16	7	5	35	22	55
2	San Diego Wave (W)	28	17	3	8	42	29	54
3	Washington Spirit (W)	28	16	4	8	40	26	52
4	Kansas City Current (W)	28	14	5	9	50	38	47
5	Angel City FC (W)	28	13	7	8	48	31	46
6	Utah Royals (W)	28	14	4	10	44	37	46
7	Portland Thorns (W)	28	12	8	8	47	41	44
8	Reign FC (W)	28	13	4	11	36	33	43
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	28	13	3	12	51	41	42
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	28	10	8	10	47	40	38
11	Orlando Pride (W)	28	11	3	14	38	44	36
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	28	9	5	14	38	47	32
13	Houston Dash (W)	28	8	6	14	35	41	30
14	Bay FC (W)	28	7	6	15	30	44	27
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	28	7	3	18	37	54	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	28	5	2	21	16	66	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angel City FC (W)	Bay FC (W)
Denver Summit FC (W)	3-2 W	2-2 D
Washington Spirit (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Utah Royals (W)	3-0 W	2-3 L
Reign FC (W)	3-1 W	0-2 L
Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Angel City FC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel City FC (W)

DLWWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-2	3-2	6	4	W
04/10	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
27/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
21/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
17/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
12/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-3	8	2	D
06/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
01/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-1	5-2	8	0	W
27/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
24/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Bay FC (W)

LWLLLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
04/10	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
27/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
21/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
17/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
13/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
05/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
24/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
15/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	2-3	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel City FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Angel City FC (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Angel City FC (W) 68%, draw 19%, Bay FC (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Angel City FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Angel City FC (W) 2.38 · Bay FC (W) 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Angel City FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.