Football · USA NWSL Women · 25/10, 00:30

Prediction: Denver Summit FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)

Team pages: Denver Summit FC (W) · Racing Louisville FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Denver Summit FC (W)2.28

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.13

1X2

62% 21% 17%

Denver Summit FC (W) Draw Racing Louisville FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Denver Summit FC (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDDWLW

Racing Louisville FC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Denver Summit FC (W) 1–0 Racing Louisville FC (W) (1 last)

Racing Louisville FC (W)0-1Denver Summit FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denver Summit FC (W) (rating 1547 vs 1429).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Denver Summit FC (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.41 → 1.41▲	Pinn 1.41
X	4.94 → 4.87▼	Pinn 4.87
2	5.58 → 5.55▼	Pinn 5.55

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:24 +10’	1.41	4.94	5.58
05:07 +24’	1.41▲	4.87▼	5.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Denver Summit FC (W) 1–0–0 Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Denver Summit FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	28	16	7	5	35	22	55
2	Washington Spirit (W)	28	16	4	8	40	26	52
3	San Diego Wave (W)	27	16	3	8	40	28	51
4	Utah Royals (W)	27	14	4	9	44	35	46
5	Kansas City Current (W)	27	13	5	9	48	38	44
6	Angel City FC (W)	27	12	7	8	45	29	43
7	Portland Thorns (W)	27	12	7	8	45	39	43
8	North Carolina Courage (W)	27	13	3	11	50	39	42
9	Reign FC (W)	27	12	4	11	33	32	40
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	27	10	8	9	45	37	38
11	Orlando Pride (W)	27	10	3	14	36	43	33
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	28	9	5	14	38	47	32
13	Houston Dash (W)	27	8	6	13	34	39	30
14	Bay FC (W)	27	7	5	15	28	42	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	28	7	3	18	37	54	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	27	5	2	20	15	63	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Denver Summit FC (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Chicago Stars (W)	3-0 W	2-3 L
Reign FC (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Bay FC (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Angel City FC (W)	3-3 D	0-2 L
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
San Diego Wave (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Utah Royals (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Denver Summit FC (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Denver Summit FC (W)

WDLWWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
26/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-4	3	1	L
20/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
17/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
12/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	3-3	1	2	D
06/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	3	0	W
30/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	6-1	3	1	W
23/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
09/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	8	2	W

Racing Louisville FC (W)

WWLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	1	1	L
03/10	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
26/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
21/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
12/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
29/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Denver Summit FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Denver Summit FC (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Denver Summit FC (W) 62%, draw 21%, Racing Louisville FC (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in Denver Summit FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Denver Summit FC (W) 2.28 · Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Denver Summit FC (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.