Football · USA NWSL Women · 25/10, 20:00

Prediction: Orlando Pride (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Team pages: Orlando Pride (W) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Orlando Pride (W)1.3

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.3

1X2

36% 29% 35%

Orlando Pride (W) Draw NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando Pride (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDLWL

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWWWDL

Head-to-head

Orlando Pride (W) 2–1–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (6 last)

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-0Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)0-1NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Orlando Pride (W)0-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-2Orlando Pride (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)3-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)2-0NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (rating 1474 vs 1528).
H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando Pride (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.9	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.30 → 4.04▼	Pinn 4.04
X	3.75 → 3.85▲	Pinn 3.85
2	1.68 → 1.71▲	Pinn 1.71

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:41 +43’	4.30	3.75	1.68
01:34 +46’	4.10▼	3.89▲	1.69▲
10:34 +41’	4.10	3.88▼	1.69
09:49 +32’	4.04▼	3.85▼	1.71▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pride (W) 2–1–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/03/26 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
16/11/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
30/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
23/03/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Orlando Pride (W)
20/10/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Orlando Pride (W)
02/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	28	16	7	5	35	22	55
2	San Diego Wave (W)	28	17	3	8	42	29	54
3	Washington Spirit (W)	28	16	4	8	40	26	52
4	Kansas City Current (W)	28	14	5	9	50	38	47
5	Angel City FC (W)	28	13	7	8	48	31	46
6	Utah Royals (W)	28	14	4	10	44	37	46
7	Portland Thorns (W)	28	12	8	8	47	41	44
8	Reign FC (W)	28	13	4	11	36	33	43
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	28	13	3	12	51	41	42
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	28	10	8	10	47	40	38
11	Orlando Pride (W)	28	11	3	14	38	44	36
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	28	9	5	14	38	47	32
13	Houston Dash (W)	28	8	6	14	35	41	30
14	Bay FC (W)	28	7	6	15	30	44	27
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	28	7	3	18	37	54	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	28	5	2	21	16	66	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando Pride (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
San Diego Wave (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Portland Thorns (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Kansas City Current (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
Washington Spirit (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-3 L	2-1 W
North Carolina Courage (W)	0-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando Pride (W)

LLLWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
27/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
19/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-4	8	2	L
12/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
07/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-1	8	3	W
30/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
23/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
16/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
08/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
01/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	10	3	L

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

WWDDLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
04/10	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
20/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
12/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
06/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	2	0	L
29/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando Pride (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pride (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Orlando Pride (W) 36%, draw 29%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando Pride (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Orlando Pride (W) 1.3 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.3), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pride (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.