Football · USA NWSL Women · 24/10, 04:00

Prediction: Portland Thorns (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)

Team pages: Portland Thorns (W) · North Carolina Courage (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Portland Thorns (W)2.01

North Carolina Courage (W)1.51

1X2

48% 23% 28%

Portland Thorns (W) Draw North Carolina Courage (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Thorns (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDWDL

North Carolina Courage (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Portland Thorns (W) 2–3–1 North Carolina Courage (W) (6 last)

North Carolina Courage (W)2-2Portland Thorns (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-1Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)0-0North Carolina Courage (W)
Portland Thorns (W)1-0North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)2-0Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-1North Carolina Courage (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Portland Thorns (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Thorns (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.1	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 04:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.58 → 2.42▼	Pinn 2.42
X	4.01 → 3.99▼	Pinn 3.99
2	2.20 → 2.34▲	Pinn 2.34

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:24 +43’	2.58	4.01	2.20
01:17 +52’	2.50▼	3.99▼	2.27▲
03:09 +56’	2.42▼	3.99	2.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Thorns (W) 2–3–1 North Carolina Courage (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	2-2 HT 2-2	Portland Thorns (W)
17/08/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Portland Thorns (W)
30/03/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
09/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
14/04/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Portland Thorns (W)
21/08/23 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	28	16	7	5	35	22	55
2	San Diego Wave (W)	28	17	3	8	42	29	54
3	Washington Spirit (W)	28	16	4	8	40	26	52
4	Kansas City Current (W)	28	14	5	9	50	38	47
5	Angel City FC (W)	28	13	7	8	48	31	46
6	Utah Royals (W)	28	14	4	10	44	37	46
7	Portland Thorns (W)	27	12	7	8	45	39	43
8	North Carolina Courage (W)	28	13	3	12	51	41	42
9	Reign FC (W)	27	12	4	11	33	32	40
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	28	10	8	10	47	40	38
11	Orlando Pride (W)	28	11	3	14	38	44	36
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	28	9	5	14	38	47	32
13	Houston Dash (W)	28	8	6	14	35	41	30
14	Bay FC (W)	27	7	5	15	28	42	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	28	7	3	18	37	54	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	27	5	2	20	15	63	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Thorns (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Boston Legacy FC (W)	2-4 L	2-1 W
Houston Dash (W)	1-1 D	2-3 L
Chicago Stars (W)	1-1 D	6-0 W
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Utah Royals (W)	1-5 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: North Carolina Courage (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portland Thorns (W)

LWWWDLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	2-4	5	6	L
27/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
19/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
14/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
06/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
29/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
09/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	4-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L

North Carolina Courage (W)

LWWLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
03/10	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
20/09	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
13/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
06/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
30/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-3	4	7	L
27/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
23/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
17/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Thorns (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Thorns (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Portland Thorns (W) 48%, draw 23%, North Carolina Courage (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Thorns (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Portland Thorns (W) 2.01 · North Carolina Courage (W) 1.51), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Thorns (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.